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LOCAL TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION -- Official information
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The International Workshop

LOCAL TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION

in commemoration of the 50th anniversary of

the 1952 Great Kamchatka Earthquake and Tsunami

Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Russia, September 10 - 15, 2002


Workshop Program

September 9, Monday
18:00 - 21:00Registration

September 10, Tuesday
8:00 - 14:00Registration
9:00 - 10:00Opening Ceremony
Mikhail Mashkovstsev (Russia)
- governor of Kamchatka
Patricio Bernal, Francois Shindele
- IOC/UNESCO
Sergey Fedotov (Russia)
- academician, Head of Kamchatka Science Centre FEB RAS
Sergey Lappo (Russia)
- chairman of the Workshop
Joanne (Jody) Bourgeois (U.S.A.)
- vice-chairman of the International Programme Committee
Evgeny Gordeev (Russia)
- chair of the Local Organising Committee
Morning session.
Chairmen: Boris Levin (Russia), Jody Bourgeois (USA)
10:00 - 10:20Viacheslav Gusiakov (Russia)

TSUNAMI POTENTIAL OF DIFFERENT TSUNAMIGENIC REGIONS IN THE PACIFIC - A COMPARATIVE STUDY

10:20 - 10:40H. Hebert; Francois Schindele (France); P. Heinrich; A. Piatanesi; E. Okal

LOCAL TSUNAMI HAZARD IN THE MARQUESAS ISLANDS (FRENCH POLYNESIA): OBSERVATIONS AND NUMERICAL MODELING OF THE 1999 FATU HIVA LANDSLIDE AND TSUNAMI

10:40 - 11:00Charles McCreery (USA); Barry Hirshorn; Robert Cessaro; Stuart Weinstein; Daniel Walker; Gerard Fryer

RECENT ENHANCEMENTS TO PTWC LOCAL/REGIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CAPABILITIES FOR HAWAII

11:00 - 11:30 Coffee-break
11:30 - 11:50 Victor Kaistrenko (Russia); Valentina Sedaeva; Elena Abramova

MANIFESTATION OF THE GREAT 1952 TSUNAMI ON THE NORTH KURIL ISLAND AND KAMCHATKA COAST

11:50 - 12:10Alexander Vikulin (Russia)

BIG KAMCHATKA EARTHQUAKE - 50 YEARS LATER

12:10 - 12:40Evgeny Kulikov (Russia)

Videotaped Interview with captain Anatoly E. Abaev whose ship took part in rescue mission after the 1952 Great Kamchatka Earthquake and Tsunami

12:40 - 14:30 Lunch
Afternoon session.
Chairmen: Viacheslav Gusiakov (Russia), Francois Schindele (France)
14:30 - 14:50Gerard Fryer (USA); Philip Watts

ALEUTIAN LANDSLIDES AND THE TSUNAMI OF 1946

14:50 - 15:10Nanang Puspito (Indonesia)

TSUNAMI AND EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY IN INDONESIA DURING THE LAST CENTURY

15:10 - 15:30Ahmet Yalciner (Turkey); Efim Pelinovsky

DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS OF TSUNAMI WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA

15:30 - 15:50Boyko Ranguelov (Bulgaria)

THE BLACK SEA TSUNAMI ZONING - AN EMPIRICAL APPROACH

15:50 - 16:10 Coffee-break
16:10 - 16:30Philip Watts (USA)

PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS AND RISK ASSESSMENT FOR LANDSLIDE TSUNAMIS

16:30 - 16:50Dominique Reymond (French Polynesia); Olivier Hyvernaud; Yoann Cano

THE TSUNAMI WARNING PLAN IMPLEMENTED IN FRENCH POLYNESIA

16:50 - 17:10Victor Kaistrenko; Yury Korolyev; Jong-Hwan Yoon (Japan)

TSUNAMI RISK ESTIMATION FOR SOUTHERN KURIL COAST

19:00 - 21:00Icebreaker Reception

September 11, Wednesday
Morning session.
Chairmen: Evgeny Kulikov (Russia), Ahmet Yalciner (Turkey)
9:00 - 9:20Vasily Titov (USA)

DEVELOPING MODELING TOOLS FOR TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION

9:20 - 9:40Ahmet Yalciner (Turkey); Ertan Demirbas; Fumihiko Imamura; Efim Pelinovsky; Costas E. Synolakis

THE COMPARISON OF NUMERICAL AND ANALYTICAL APPROACHES FOR LONG WAVE RUNUP

9:40 - 10:00Tatiana Talipova; Ahmet Yalciner (Turkey); Efim Pelinovsky; Andrey Kurkin; Andrey Kozelkov; Andrey Zaitsev

MODELING OF LOCAL TSUNAMIS IN THE BLACK SEA

10:00 - 10:20Shusaku Inoue (Japan); Tatsuo Ohmachi

APPLICABILITY OF RAYLEIGH WAVE INDUCED SEA SURFACE DISTURBANCE TO REAL TIME TSUNAMI WARNING

10:20 - 10:40Philip Watts (USA); Stephan T. Grilli ; James T. Kirby ; Gerard J. Fryer ; David R. Tappin

LANDSLIDE TSUNAMI CASE STUDIES WITH GEOWAVE

10:40 - 11:15 Coffee-break
11:15 - 11:30Mikhail Nosov (Russia); Sergey Kolesov

NONLINEAR TSUNAMI GENERATION MECHANISM IN COMPRESSIBLE OCEAN

11:30 - 11:45Josef Cherniawsky (Canada); Vasily Titov; Fred Stephenson; Kelin Wang

MODELLING TSUNAMI HEIGHTS AND CURRENTS IN B.C. HARBOURS FROM CASCADIA MEGATHRUST EARTHQUAKE

11:45 - 12:00Stefano Tinti; Alberto Armigliato (Italy)

EFFECTS OF THE SEAFLOOR TOPOGRAPHY ON TSUNAMI GENERATION EXPLORED FOR THE MESSINA 1908 TSUNAMI THROUGH 2-D FINITE ELEMENT MODELLING

12:00 - 12:15Stefano Tinti; Filippo Zaniboni; Gianluca Pagnoni (to be presented by Armigliato Alberto, Italy)

GENERATION AND PROPAGATION OF TSUNAMI WAVES INDUCED BY A FLANK COLLAPSE AT STROMBOLI VOLCANO, ITALY

12:15 - 12:30Leonid Chubarov; Zinaida Fedotova (Russia)

NUMERICAL MODELING OF A LONG-WAVE REGIME IN THE COASTAL ZONE

12:30 - 12:45Andrei Marchuk (Russia); Anatoly Bezhaev; Nikolay Seliverstov

THE NEW GRIDDED KURIL-KAMCHATKA BATHYMETRY FOR TSUNAMI MODELING

12:45 - 14:30 Lunch
Afternoon session.
Chairmen: Boyko Ranguelov (Bulgaria), Evgenii Gordeev (Russia)
14:30 - 14:50Joanne Bourgeois (USA); Tatiana Pinegina; Vasily Titov; Vera Ponomareva; Nataliya Zaretskaia

SHEDDING LIGHT ON HISTORICAL KAMCHATKA TSUNAMIS

14:50 - 15:10Yoshinobu Tsuji (Japan); Makoto Okamura ; Hiromi Matsuoka ; Tomoko Goto

HISTORICAL AND PRE-HISTORICAL TRACES OF TSUNAMIS IN LAGOON BED DEPOSIT OF O-IKE AND SUWA-IKE PONDS, ON THE SE COAST OF KII PENINSULA, CENTRAL JAPAN

15:10 - 15:30Tatiana Pinegina (Russia); Joanne Bourgeois

TSUNAMI DEPOSITS ON KAMCHATKA AND TSUNAMI HAZARD ANALYSIS BY THE EXAMPLE OF HALAKTIRSKIY BEACH NEAR PETROPAVLOVSK

15:30 - 15:50Ursula Cochran (New Zealand)

WHAT EVIDENCE EXISTS FOR PALEOTSUNAMI TRIGGERED BY LOCAL EARTHQUAKES IN THE WELLINGTON REGION OF NEW ZEALAND?

15:50 - 16:05Futoshui Nanayama (Japan); Kenji Satake

HOLOCENE TSUNAMI DEPOSITS ALONG PACIFIC COAST OF EASTERN HOKKAIDO, NORTHERN JAPAN

16:05 - 16:20Alexander Iliev (Russia); Nadezhda Razjigaeva; Victor Kaistrenko; Elena Gretskaya; Elena Tikhonchuk; Andrey Kharlamov

PALEOTSUNAMI DEPOSITS ON THE KUNASHIR ISLAND COAST

16:20 - 16:35Tatiana Grebennikova; Nadya Razjigaeva (Russia); Aleksandr Iliev; Victor Kaistrenko

DIATOM DATA AS AN INDICATOR OF THE PALAEO-TSUNAMI DEPOSITS

16:35 - 17:00 Coffee-break
17:00 - 17:15Evgenii Gordeev (Russia); Victor Chebrov

STATE AND DEVELOPMENT OF THE SEISMIC OBSERVATION ON KAMCHATKA FOR THE TSUNAMI WARNING

17:15 - 17:30Boris Levin (Russia); Vladimir Pavlov

THE LATITUDE VARIATIONS OF THE LITHOSPHERE ENERGY AND ITS IMPACT ON THE SEISMICITY

17:30 - 17:45A. Lutikov (Russia); S. Yunga; O. Molchanov; S. Uyeda; M. Hayakawa

UPWARD MIGRATION OF FORESHOCK IN SOURCE REGION OF STRONG KURILE-KAMCHATKA EARTHQUAKES

17:45 - 18:00Dominique Reymond (French Polynesia); Emile Okal; Yoann Cano

RAPID DETERMINATION OF FOCAL MECHANISM : A PROJECT TO IMPROVE TSUNAMI WARNING

18:00 - 18:15Yevgeny Gordeev; Vadim Saltykov (Russia); Yulia Zhalyaeva

PRECURSORS OF KAMCHATKAN EARTHQUAKES

18:15 - 18:30Vladimir Gladychev (Russia); A. Schekotov; E. Gordeev; V. Chebrov; A. Lutikov; S. Yunga; O. Molchanov; M. Hayakawa; S. Uyeda; T. Nagao

COMPLEX GEOPHYSICAL OBSERVATORY AT KAMCHATKA REGION FOR THE INVESTIGATION OF THE CONNECTION WITH SEISMIC ACTIVITY PHENOMENA

18:30 - 18:45Vladimir Gladychev (Russia); A. Schekotov; O. Pokhotelov; E. Gordeev; V. Chebrov; O. Molchanov; M. Hayakawa; S. Uyeda; T. Nagao; K. Hattori

STUDY OF ELECTROMAGNETIC ULF EMISSIONS ASSOCIATED WITH SEISMIC ACTIVITY IN KAMCHATKA REGION

September 12, Thursday
Morning session.
Chairmen: Yoshonobu Tsuji (Japan), Victor Kaistrenko (Russia)
9:00 - 9:15Yakov Karlik (Russia)

HYDROACOUSTIC ANTENNA – POWERFUL INSTRUMENT IN THE TSUNAMIGENIC EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

9:15 - 9:30Gerard Fryer (USA); Jacqueline Caplan-Auerbach; Philip Watts; Frederick Duennebier

HYDROACOUSTIC DETECTION OF TSUNAMIGENIC LANDSLIDES

9:30 - 9:45Elena Sassorova (Russia); Boris Levin; Victor Morozov; Igor Didenkulov; Yacov Karlik

NEAR-SHORE OCEANIC EARTHQUAKES: ACOUSTIC METHODS APPLICATION TO THE EARLY RECOGNITION AND TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEM PERSPECTIVE

9:45 - 10:00Hiroyuki Matsumoto (Japan)

SEAWATER PRESSURE RELATED TO SEISMIC WAVE AND TSUNAMI

10:00 - 10:15Alexander Stromkov (Russia); Igor Didenkulov; Yakov Karlik; Efim Pelinovsky

FEASIBILITY OF TSUNAMI DETECTION WITH ACOUSTIC WAVES PROPAGATING IN UNDERWATER CHANNEL

10:15 - 10:45 Coffee-break
10:45 - 11:00Igor Kuzminykh (Russia); Leonid Chubarov; Igor Zyskin; Konstantin Simonov

THE CONCEPT OF LOCAL TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEM IN THE PROJECT OF RESTORATION AND DEVELOPMENT NATIONAL TWS OF RUSSIA

11:00 - 11:15Alexander A. Poplavsky (Russia)

THE MAIN PECULIARITIES OF THE LOCAL TSUNAMI FORECAST ON KAMCHATKA AND KURILE ISLANDS

11:15 - 11:30Igor Zyskin (Russia); Evgeny Kulikov; Nikolay Skurishin

HARDWARE-SOFTWARE COMPLEX FOR SUPERVISION AND TSUNAMI IDENTIFICATION IN COASTAL ZONE IN LOCAL TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEMS

11:30 - 11:45Vladimir Ivanov (Russia); Jong Yul Chung

THE ESTIMATION OF THE VOLUME VARIATION DUE TO UNDERWATER EARTHQUAKE

11:45 - 12:00Vladimir Ivanov; Chung Jong Yul (Republic of Korea)

THE RECONSTRUCTION OF TSUNAMI RECORDS DISTORTED DUE TO BOUNDED ABOVE REGISTRATION

12:00 - 12:30Viacheslav Gusiakov (Russia)

HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATABASE FOR THE PACIFIC, 47 DC - 2002 AD: SUMMARY OF THE DATABASE CONTENTS AND THE DEMONSTRATION OF THE GRAPHIC SHELL OPTIONS

12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
Student session.
Chairmen: Joanne Bourgeois (USA)
14:00 - 14:15Irina Didenkulova (Russia);

LOCAL TSUNAMI ON VOLGA RIVER

14:15 - 14:30Victor Morozov (Russia)

HIGH-FREQUENCY HYDRO ACOUSTIC SIGNALS (40 - 110 HZ) PRECEDING THE EARTHQUAKES ON THE PACIFIC SHELF OF KAMCHATKA PENINSULA

14:30 - 14:45Sergey Skachko (Russia)

NONLINEAR VERTICAL CURRENT DUE TO SEISMIC BOTTOM OSCILLATIONS

14:45 - 15:00Yury Permikin (Russia)

ON THE POSSIBLE MAKING MORE PRECISE OF EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE CRITERION FOR THE TSUNAMI FORECAST

15:00 - 15:15Sergey Kolesov (Russia)

NUMERICAL MODELLING OF COMPRESSIBLE FLUID BEHAVIOUR IN A BASIN OF VARIABLE DEPTH: APPLICATION TO THE TSUNAMI GENERATION PROBLEM

15:15 - 16:00General Discussion & Adoption of the Workshop Recommendations
16:00Paratunka hot springs

September 13, Friday
10:00 - 16:00Field trip: Khalaktirka beach and Kotelnoe lake (bus; free for registered participants and accompanying persons, lunch included)
19:00 - 22:00Workshop Dinner

September 14-15
Tsunami and "non-tsunami" field trips


All information.


 MainInformation Pre-registration & abstract submissionDatabase searchAdministration  

Workshop Co-conveners:


Dr. Joanne (Jody) Bourgeois (U.S.A.)
Dept. of Earth and Space Sciences, Box 351310, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195-1310, U.S.A.
Tel: 1(206) 685-2443  Fax: 1(206) 543-0489

Dr. Mikhail Nosov (Russia)
Faculty of Physics, Moscow State University, Vorobjovy Gory, Moscow, 119899, Russia
Tel: 7(095) 939-3698  Fax: 7(095) 124-8713
Design & programming: Sergey Kolesov ©2002.