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ВЕСТНИК КРАУНЦ. СЕРИЯ НАУКИ О ЗЕМЛЕ. 2006. ?1. ВЫПУСК ? 7

550.348 + 551.466.62 + 553.78

1991, = 7.0 2006, = 7.8

ї2006 .. 1,2, ..

1,2

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, -, 683006; . , -, 683032; e-mail:vik@kscnet.ru

1

1991-1996 . , 8 1991 . = 7 (. -, , ) , , . 21 2006 . = 7.8. .

(.. ) 1983 . . , , , : ' , ?'. .. , , , , . , , , , . , , ,
. 1. -78 (..., 1979; II-7-81) (, 1978; ., 1977) . , MSK-64 (..., 1979). , , 5 . XX . . , MSK-64. (, 1992).

1978 . (-78) 5-6 (. 1).

36

. . 2006. 1. 7


1991, = 7.0 2006, = 7.8

(), (. 2). , , - -, , . . , 8 1969 . 10 - 15 1976 . . , . . 1985 . 5-6- , 1988 . , , , 6-7 (. 2 ). 8- . 8 1991 . 23 30 . . , , , .. , = 7. , , , -78, '' 5 (. 1, 2 ). 9- 1995 . , 6- . 3 - .

1991 . , , 1995 . '' . - . 1991 - 1996 . = 7 ( NEIC: M = 6.6) 8 1991 ., 8 , . 1991-1996 . (, 1998). ( ). .. . . , 9 , , .. . . 10 . . , 8 1991 .: - 18


. 2. -78 () ( ? 5) 1960-2000 . (). , MSK-64. - . .
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37


,

, - 6 - . . 100-300 50 . 1992 . . , 7-8- 8 , 20 ( ., 1997; ., 1997). 1991-1993 . , 5 , , , , , . (. 2) 4 - 5 , 1992-1995 . "" . . ( ., 1994), , -, , , ( ), (. 2 ). , > 7-8 ( > 2) (Potapova et al., 1995; ., 1997). , (. 3) ( ., 1997; ., 1994; Zobin et al., 1995). , 3,9 ? ? 5,3, , , = 5.3, 4 - . ? 4.5 '': , , ... 20, 0, 3, 4, 1, 1 0 . , , - 29, 1, 2 0 , 1, 2, 3 4 32, 8, 1 3 . , (N = 4) (3.7 ? ? 5.9, N = 68), 50 30 - 3200, '' (. 3). 38

. 3. 8 1991 =7.0. , - 17.07.1992 = 5.4, - ? 4.5 (, 1998).

= 5.7 - 5.9 . , = 5.5, 50 . , , . - 17 1992 ., 6 = 5.4 (. 3), 2 50 . , , '' ( ., 1994). , .. ( ), , '... -

. . 2006. 1. 7


1991, = 7.0 2006, = 7.8

1991 . . . . - , , . , 1991 . ' ( ., 1994). , . . (..., 1979), , . .. (, , 1995; , , 1996; Gusev et al., 1997). (..., 1979) . , , ; ; . - . (, 1996, 2006; , , 1998) (, , 1976),

(, 1987) (, 1991). , , . , , - , . -97 . 4. 5-6 - 6-9 - . , , (), , , (-). .. ( ), .. ( ) .. ( ). -97 (, , 1995; , , 1998; ..., 2000), 2003 . . . 60- . , (, 1978; ., 1978). 22.XI.1969, = 7.7 (. 2 ), 10-15 (, 1996), , , . , - - (, 1996). 2-3 1-2 (, 1988). (. 2 , 3,) , , (, 1998).
39

. . 2006. 1. 7


,

. 4. (-97) () (, 1998; ..., 2000; , , 1998). ( ): 1 -0-10. 2 - 11-20, 3 - 21-40, 4 - 41-70, 5 - 71-100, 6 - 101-150, 7 - 151-300, 8 - >300. VI-X ( MSK-64), 90% 50 . () = 13 ( > 5,5) < 54њ .. ? 10 ( ? 3) > 54њ .., 1962-1993 . ( ) ( = 7.6 ) , XX : - , - .

1992 . .. ( ), . (1530 .), . (720, 820 940 .) (1220-1230 .) . (, , 1997; ., 1997). 191 " ", - , , : 3-5 - "" , . , , ( > 7) (, , 1997).
40

() () 1993 1994 . (Dawson et al., 1991; Minoura, Nakaya, 1990) . , 1994-1995 . (Gusiakov et al., 1997; Minoura et al., 1996), . , ( ., 1994) , , , , (Gusiakov et al., 1997). .. ( , ) (Gusiakov, Marchuk, 1997), , 1991 . . , 4-6 (. 5). , . 15-20 (. 5 ). (, , 1997; Gusiakov, Marchuk, 1997) .. ( ) (Bourgeois et al., 2006), , , -

. . 2006. 1. 7


1991, = 7.0 2006, = 7.8

. 5. () (. 1128) () (Gusiakov, Marchuk, 1997).

. , , , - , 2-3 . , - , , . , -, , , . , , , (Ranguelov, 1997). , , , , , (, 1998).

.. ( , ) 2005 . .. , 1991 . . (, 1978; ., 1977), . . , , - . , , ( 21 2006 .) , ( 30- .XX .) "" . , , . .. (, ). (..., 1997; , , 1997; Porotov, Vikulin, 1996). ( ) , , , . - , , , , . , , 1 /. 1-2 (30-50) 103 3 . ( ) 1.5 , . , , -, . , , (. ) , . , , ,
41

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,

(, 1994). , , . (, , ) . (, ) ~ 1 /. , 300 / . , , 3/. , 1.5-2 . , . . . , - , , , . . . . . , , . 1994 . .. .. ( )
42

. . 1. . - , , - . 2. ( , .) . , , . 1992-1995 . , . , '' , , , '' . . 1997, -97 , (, 2002, 2003; , , 1995; , , 1998) , , (..., 2000). 1991-1996 . , . ( 7-8 ) , ( 4-6 ) , 15-20 , ( 1 - 1.5 )

. . 2006. 1. 7


1991, = 7.0 2006, = 7.8

. , , . , . 1997 . .. , , , . . 1991 - 1996 . . , , , , . 21 2006 . ( ) . 21 2006 . = 7.8 ( NEIC: M = 7.6, -: = 7.9) . (. 6), ''. . 8-9 - 10 . 20-30 10 , , . , , - (N = 4 N = 1) , 3-4 MSK-64,

. . , , , , , , , . 2006 . , , 14%. 2-3- (, , ) 2.5-3.5 . - , ' ' , . .. .. .. - . . . NEIC. = 6.1 - 6.2 . ( 4.5 11.5 ), ( ) 9 (30 ) = 6.2 (. 6). 7 . . , , . 6, , , '' ' 8, 200 . ? 4.5 , , ... : 33, 5, 3, 0, 0, 1 1. 43 , - 8. 1991 . 2006 . . ,
43

. . 2006. 1. 7


,

. 6. 21 2006 =7.8 . , ' 6 - 4.5 ? < 6 . NEIC.

. , 21 2006 . , 1991 ., . , . , = 7, , 4.5.1959 = 7,6 . . , , , , 2006 . 1. 1991-1996 . , . 21 2006 . . , 9 - 10 , ; , 4 - 6
44

, , 15-20 ; , 11.5 , . . : , 8- , , - , (. 4). - . - . -, . , - , , -, ( ., 1994), - (, , 1997; Porotov, Vikulin, 1996). , (, ). , , , ( ., 1997; Porotov, Vikulin, 1996; , 1998). , , , -

. . 2006. 1. 7


1991, = 7.0 2006, = 7.8

, - 9 - 10 , - 4 - 6 . . , . , , , 9-10- (. 4), . . , , , . , , .. ( ), , . 2. , 24 , ' , ' (..., 2000), 16 8- . , '' (. 4), . '' , . '8-' . . 3. 1991 - 1996 . ( ) . , , , . ? , , -

. , 1991 . 21 2006 ., , , . 21 (. 3, 6) (), 9 , , . - , , , .., , - , . , .. '' ( ) . . 30, , . : 1991 ., , , , , '' , 15 2006 . . , , . (2004, . 171): ', , . ? , , . , , . , ? , ? . . , . '. , 21 , , , - . , , - . - '' . '': , 45

. . 2006. 1. 7


,

1995 . , , . , 90- . . , , ? - 1991 2006 . , 21 , . , , 2004 ., . , , , , , , . 21 '' . ! . , 21 , , , - . , 21 . 4. 1991 2006 . , . -, . , , , '' 5 9 (. 1, 4). '' -97 , , . , 10, 9, 8, 7 6 ,
46

'' . '' ( ) '' 6- , , , , . - 9- , , 10- (. 1, 4). 10- , . -, 17.10.1737 . (, , 1989). , , , . , , , , , , , , . , , . , , : . . . , . , . , , 8 2005 . ' ', , . , , , . , , '' 7- 25 1971 .: - (), ,

. . 2006. 1. 7


1991, = 7.0 2006, = 7.8

. - , , ; - 1973 . () , - , () ; - - . - - . -. '' - '' - , . - . - . . - , ''. , , - . ! , , '' . ''. 2005 . , '' . , , , ''. , '' , , ,

, . , , - , . , , . ... .., .., .. . // . 1994. N 4-5. C. 5-35. . . : 2004, 585 . .. // . 1998. . 17, 2. . 85-92. .. - // . 1992. 1. . 46-61. .., .., .., .. . -, 1997. 120 . .., .. 10- - // . : , 1989. . 66-67. .. // . 2002. 12. . 56-70. .. // . . 2003. 1. . 32-36. .., .. , // Bulgarian Geophysical Journal. Vol. XXII, 4. . 40-49. .., .. // . .: , 1995. . 2-3. . 289-299. .. // 1- " 47

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,

". 12-16 1996. -. . 19. .. - - . . . 2006. 183 . .. . -, 1996. 86 . .. // . 1988. 2. . 66-73. 3 .., .., .. . 8 1991 . // 1991 . .: , 1997. . 76-88. 3 .., .. // , . , 1976. . 17-28. .., .., .., .. () 8 1991 .: ? // . .: , 1994. . 26. . 103-122. .., .. , // . 1998. . 11. .. , // . 1994. . . 1. . 429-434. .., .. - - // . 1997. 3. . 3-11. .. - // .. 1987. 5. . 118-123. .. . .: , 1991. 181 . .., .., .. . // . 1997. 4. . 103-106. .., .. // . .: , 1997. . 220-243.

. .: , 1997. 306 . . .: , 1979. 192 . II-7-81. . .: , 1982. 40 . .. , 1737-1976 . // . .: , 1978. . 61-136. .., .., .., .. - // T . .: , 1977. . 131-139. . II-7-81*. .: . 2000. 44 . .., .. // . 1998. 4. . 30-34. Bourgeois J., Pinegina T.K., Ponomareva V.V., Zaretskaia N.E. Holocene tsunamis in the Southwestern Bering Sea, Russia Far East and their tectonic implications // The Geol. Soc. Amer. Bull. 2006. Vol. 11(3/4). P. 449-463. Dawson A.G., Foster I.D., Shi S. et al. The identification of tsunami deposits in coastal sediment sequences // Science of Tsunami Hazards. 1991. Vol. 9. 1. P. 73-82. Gusev A.A., Gordeev E.I., Guseva E.M. et al. The First Version of the Amax(Mw ,R) Relationship for Kamchatka // Pure appl. Geophys. 1997. Vol. 149. P. 299-312. Gusiakov V.K., Marchuk An.G. Estimation of tsunami risk: case study of the Bering coast of Kamchatka // Tsunami Migration and Risk Assessment. Proceedings of the International Tsunami Workshop, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, August 21-24, 1996. Novosibirsk: Computing Center SD PAS, 1997. P. 33-46. Gusiakov V.K., Marchuk An.G., Osipova A.V. Expert tsunami database for the Pacific : motivation, design, and proof-of-concept demonstration // Perspectives on Tsunami Hazard Reduction. Kluwer Academic Publishers. Printed in the Netherlands. 1997. P. 21-34. Minoura K., Gusiakov V.K., Kurbatov A. et al. Tsunami sedimentation associated with the 1923 Kamchatka earthquake // Sedimentary Geology. 1996. Vol. 106. P. 145-154. Minoura K., Nakaya S. Origin of intertidal lake and marsh environments in and around Lake Jusan, Tsugaro // Geol. Soc. Japan. Mem. 1990. Vol. 36. P. 71-87 (in Japanese).

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Porotov A., Vikulin A. The Natural Hazards assessment on coastal zone of the Koryak region// Partnership in Coastal Zone Management. 1996. Univ. Portsmonth. J.Tausik and J. Mitchel (eds.). Supl. Iss. P. 1-6. Potapova O.V., Chernysheva G.V., Shumilina L.S. Seismicity of Koryak region // 5th Zonenshain Conference on the plate tectonics. Moscow. November 22-25, 1995. Moscow, 1995. P. 131.

Ranguelov . Tsunami Hazard Methodology - a Case for the Black Sea // . . . . . . . . . 8-12 1997 . : , 1997. . 89-90. Zobin V., Melekestsev I., Vikulin A. Seismic zonation of the Western coast of the Bering Sea // Proceedings of the First International Conference on Seismic Zonation. October 17-19, 1995. Nice. France. 1995. P. 1432-1439.

LESSONS OF KCHAILINO 1990, M=7 AND OF OLUTORSKOE 2006, M=7.8 EARTHQUAKES

.V. Vikulin1,2, I.V. Melekestsev

1,2

1

Institute of volcanology and seismology, Far East Division, Russian Academy of Sciences, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, 683006, Russia 2 Kamchatka State University by Vitus Bering, Petropavlovsk-Kamchasky,683032, Russia

The review of complex 1991-1996 investigation North Kamchatka results is gave. Preliminary macroseismic and instrumental data about Olutorskoe April, 21 2006, M = 7.8 earthquake are gave. Conclusions of comparative analysis of two strong earthquakes are formulated.

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