Äîêóìåíò âçÿò èç êýøà ïîèñêîâîé ìàøèíû. Àäðåñ îðèãèíàëüíîãî äîêóìåíòà : http://www.izmiran.rssi.ru/services/saf/archive/ru/2015/obzor20151102.ru.txt Äàòà èçìåíåíèÿ: Mon Nov 2 15:16:52 2015 Äàòà èíäåêñèðîâàíèÿ: Sun Apr 10 01:01:12 2016 Êîäèðîâêà: koi8-r

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ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÎÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ ÇÀ ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ 2015 ã.
Wîêò.= 37.1 (ñò.), 61.7 (í.)
×ÒÎ ÄÀ¨Ò ÄËß 75 ÌÅÑßÖÀ (2015, àïðåëü) ÐÀÇÂÈÒÈß ÒÅÊÓÙÅÃÎ 24 ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÃÎ
ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÃËÀÆÅÍÍÎÅ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÏßÒÅÍ

W*àïð = 61.7 - â íîâîé ñèñòåìå; 50.0 - â ñòàðîé;
W*ìàðò = 82.7 - â íîâîé ñèñòåìå; 49.3 - â ñòàðîé;

- Ñ 1 èþëÿ 2015 ã. Öåíòð â Áðþññåëå ïåðåø¸ë íà íîâóþ ñèñòåìó ïîäñ÷¸òà îò-
íîñèòåëüíûõ ÷èñåë ñîëíå÷íûõ ïÿòåí è, ïðàêòè÷åñêè, âñå çíà÷åíèÿ ñìåíèëèñü
âî âñ¸ì ïðîíóìåðîâàííîì ðÿäå ÷èñåë Âîëüôà (ñì. ïî ññûëêå).
Íî Ñëóæáà Ñîëíöà SWPC NOAA â ñâîèõ åæåíåäåëüíûõ òàáëèöàõ "Recent Solar Indices"
ïðîäëæàåò ïðèäåðæèâàòüñÿ ñòàðîé ñèñòåìû, ïîýòîìó ÿ äàþ çà ïðåäûäóùèé ìåñÿö W*
èñïðàâëåííîå.

ÍÀ×ÀËÎ 24 ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ - ßÍÂÀÐÜ 2009 ã., W*min = 2.2 (1.8ñ)
ÂÐÅÌß ÌÀÊÑÈÌÓÌÀ ÒÅÊÓÙÅÃÎ 24 ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÀ - ÀÏÐÅËÜ 2014 ã., W*max = 116.4 (81.9ñ)
ÊÎÍÅÖ 24 ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ (ÒÎ×ÊÀ ÌÈÍÈÌÓÌÀ) - IV - IV 2020 ã.

ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÅ ÅÆÅÄÍÅÂÍÎÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ ÇÀ ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ
2015 ã. ÑÎÃËÀÑÍÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ 79 ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÎÁÑÅÐÂÀÒÎÐÈÉ:

1.. 89 6.. 25 11.. 31 16.. 54 21.. 88 26.. 74 31.. 83
2.. 59 7.. 32 12.. 52 17.. 74 22..104M 27.. 67
3.. 50 8.. 36 13.. 62 18.. 72 23.. 90 28.. 79
4.. 21 9.. 26 14.. 54 19.. 91 24.. 77 29.. 91
5.. 18 10.. 12m 15.. 51 20.. 95 25.. 67 30.. 88

ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÛÉ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀÅÌÛÉ ÏÎÒÎÊ ÐÀÄÈÎÈÇËÓ×ÅÍÈß ÍÀ 10 ñì (2800 MHz)
ÇÀ ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ 2015 ã.
Fîêò. = 104.1

ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÛÉ ÏÐÅÄÂÀÐÈÒÅËÜÍÛÉ Àð-ÈÍÄÅÊÑ ÇÀ ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ 2015 ã. ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ
ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ ÖÅÍÒÐÀ Â ÏÎÒÑÄÀÌÅ
Àð îêò. = 13.8
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ÎÁÇÎÐ ÑÎÑÒÎßÍÈß ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ, ÃÅÎÝÔÔÅÊÒÈÂÍÛÕ ßÂËÅÍÈÉ,
È ÈÕ ÂÎÇÄÅÉÑÒÂÈÉ ÍÀ ÎÊÎËÎÇÅÌÍÎÅ ÊÎÑÌÈ×ÅÑÊÎÅ ÏÐÎÑÒÐÀÍÑÒÂÎ
ÍÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ 26.10 - 01.11.2015 ã.
È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÍÀ 01 - 08.11.2015 ã.
ÊÝÐÐÈÍÃÒÎÍÎÂÑÊÈÉ ÎÁÎÐÎÒ 2169, 2170 (04,57.10; 31,87.11.2015)

ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀÒÅËÜÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÎÑÒÀÂÀËÀÑÜ ÍÀ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ ÓÐÎÂ-
ÍÅ. ÐÀÑרÒÍÎÅ, ÑÐÅÄÍÅÅ ÇÍÀ×ÅÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ ×ÈÑËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ Ïß-
ÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ (ñòàðîé) ÑÎÑÒÀÂÈËÎ W = 50+11/-7 (Wí=79
+21/-10). ÍÀ ÂÈÄÈÌÎÌ ÄÈÑÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÏÎÑÒÎßÍÍÎ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÎÑÜ 6-4 ÍÅÁÎËÜ-
ØÈÕ ÑÏÎÊÎÉÍÛÕ ÃÐÓÏÏ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ,ÎÄÍÀ ÈÇ ÊÎÒÎÐÛÕ ÂÛØËÀ ÈÇ-ÇÀ ÂÎ-
ÒÎ×ÍÎÃÎ ËÈÌÁÀ ÁÎËÜØÎÉ AR12443 (N05L316, Sp=670 ìäï), ÏÎÊÀ ÑÏÎÊÎÉÍÎÉ.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÑÐÅÄÍÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀÒÅËÜÍÎÉ
ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ. ÍÀÈÁÎËÅÅ ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÎÅ, ÐÀÑרÒÍÎÅ, ÑÐÅÄÍÅÅ ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ ÇÍÀ×Å-
ÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ ×ÈÑËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ W
= 40+10/-20.

ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÁÛËÀ ÍÀ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ 31.10 È ÍÀ ÍÈÇÊÎÌ Â
 ÎÑÒÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÍÈ. 3 ÂÛÁÐÎÑÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÎÑÜ ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ.
ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ ÊÎÐÎÍÎÃÐÀÔÎÂ ÑÎÕÎ È ÑÒÅÐÅÎ ÇÀÐÅÃÈÑÒÐÈÐÎÂÀÍÎ ÁÎËÅÅ 36 ÊÎ-
ÐÎÍÀËÜÍÛÕ ÂÛÁÐÎÑÎÂ ÂÅÙÅÑÒÂÀ, ÑÐÅÄÈ ÊÎÒÎÐÛÕ ÄÂÀ ÁÛËÈ ÒÈÏÀ II (ÓÃËÎ-
ÂÀß ØÈÐÈÍÀ 90 - 180 ãðàä.).

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ÂÑÏÛØÊÈ
to tm te êîî-òû áàëë Å(1-8A) ÀÎ RII/IV CME
ðåíò/îï J/m-2
31.10 1748 1752 1808 N06E51L316 M1.0/SF 2.1E-03 12443

ÂÛÁÐÎÑÛ ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ
DSF to te êîîðäèíàòû l â ãðàä. Fl AÎ CME
28.10 ~1200 N20E20L023
28.10 >0951 >2345 N38E50L353 18
28.10 >1425 A0833 N42E69L344 16
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ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÍÀ ÍÈÇÊÎÌ È
ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ ÓÐÎÂÍßÕ. ÂÑÏÛØÊÈ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÃÎ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÃÎ È ÁÎËÜØÎÃÎ ÁÀËËÎÂ ÂÎÇ-
ÌÎÆÍÛ ÒÎËÜÊÎ Â ÑËÓ×ÀÅ ÂÑÏËÛÒÈß ÍÎÂÎÃÎ, ÇÍÀ×ÈÌÎÃÎ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ ÏÎÒÎ-
ÊÀ. ÏÎÊÀ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÊÎÍÔÈÃÓÐÀÖÈß AR12443 ×ÈÑÒÎ ÁÈÏÎËßÐÍÀß È ÁÎËÜ-
ØÎÅ ÊÎËÈ×ÅÑÒÂÎ ÂÑÏÛØÅÊ ÁÀËËÀ "Ñ" ÑÂßÇÀÍÀ Ñ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÛÌÈ ÏÎÒÎÊÀÌÈ
ÍÅÁÎËÜØÎÉ ÌÎÙÍÎÑÒÈ.

ÍÀ ÂÈÄÈÌÎÌ ÄÈÑÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÈÑÜ ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÛÐÛ Ñ ÊÎÎÐÄÈÍÀÒÀÌÈ:
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çíàê N êîíåö Å êîíåö S êîíåö W êîíåö ÎÊÏ R G ÎÁÑÅÐÂÀÒÎÐÈÈ
CH + N85L014 N70L289 N35L034 N45L046 01.11 3 SDO, SOHO...
CH + N12L359 S10L349 S27L009 N08L016 2-3.11 3 SDO, SOHO...
ÎÊÏ - äàòà âîçìîæíîãî ãåîìàãíèòíîãî âîçìóùåíèÿ â îêîëîçåìíîì êîñìè-
÷åñêîì ïðîñòðàíñòâå;
R - ñêîëüêî îáîðîòîâ íàáëþäàåòñÿ. ÊP - îáñåðâàòîðèÿ Êèò Ïèê.
G - ãåîýôôåêòèâíîñòü íà ïðîøëîì îáîðîòå; A-âîçìóù¸ííàÿ ãåîìàã. îáñò.
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C 28.10/0020 ÏÎ 1.11/19 UT ÇÅÌËß ÍÀÕÎÄÈËÀÑÜ Â "-" ÑÅÊÒÎÐÅ ÌÅÆÏËÀÍÅÒ-
ÍÎÃÎ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ ÏÎËß. ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÓÞ ÑÅÊÒÎÐÍÓÞ ÃÐÀÍÈÖÓ +/- ÇÅÌËß ÄÎËÆÍÀ
ÏÐÎÉÒÈ 11.11.

ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ 26 27 28 29 30 31 01 ÍÎßÁÐÜ
Wus 072 078 071 101 088 073 088
F10.7 106 110 112 113 121 119 124
Õbcg Â3.6 Â7.9 B6.6 B6.4 Ñ1.1 B8.3 B6.6 GOES
Sp 250 290 190 520 620 670 730 ìäï
N 1 1 1 2
IMF + + +/- - - - -/+ ÀÑÅ
å>2 2.1Å+6 8.2Å+6 1.4Å+7 5.6Å+6 1.4+6 5.6E+6 6.5E+5 GOES
Ie>2 pfu GOES
Ap 2 5 2 4 10 8 10 íT BOULDER
Dst KÈOTO
Amsc - - 4 5 - - 10 íT ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ
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å>2 -ïèêîâûé ïîòîê ýëåêòðîíîâ ñ Å>2 MeV çà ñóòêè â e/(cm2-ster-day);
Ie>2-ìàêñèìàëüíàÿ èíòåíñèâíîñòü ïîòîêà ýëåêòðîíîâ íà ãåîñòàöèîíàðíûõ
îðáèòàõ çà ñóòêè ïî äàííûì GOES 15 â (electrons/cm2-s-sr) - ñîáûòèÿ
ñ ïîòîêîì >/=1000 pfu).

ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎÍÎÂ Ñ Å>2 Ìý ÍÀ ÃÅÎ-
ÑÒÀÖÈÎÍÀÐÍÛÕ ÎÐÁÈÒÀÕ ÍÅ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÑß.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎ-
ÍÎÂ Ñ Å>2 ÌýÂ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß 3 - 6.11.

ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÎÑÒÀÂÀËÀÑÜ ÑËÀÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÎÉ È ÑÏÎÊÎÉÍÎÉ.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÑËÀÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨Í-
ÍÎÉ È ÑÏÎÊÎÉÍÎÉ, ÊÐÎÌÅ 2- 4 ÍÎßÁÐß, ÊÎÃÄÀ ÇÅÌËß ÁÓÄÅÒ ÏÐÎÕÎÄÈÒÜ ÂÛÑÎ-
ÊÎÑÊÎÐÎÑÒÍÎÉ ÏÎÒÎÊ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÃÎ ÂÅÒÐÀ ÎÒ ÏÐÈÝÊÂÀÒÎÐÈÀËÜÍÎÉ ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÎÉ
ÄÛÐÛ ÏÎËÎÆÈÒÅËÜÍÎÉ ÏÎËßÐÍÎÑÒÈ, ÍÀ ÊÎÒÎÐÛÉ ÍÀËÎÆÀÒÑß ÂÎÇÌÓÙÅÍÈß ÎÒ ÂÛÁ-
ÐÎÑΠÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ 28.10. ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÎÑÒÜ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÉ ÁÓÐÈ (ÄÎ ÓÌÅÐÅÍ-
ÍÎÉ) ÍÅ ÌÅÍÅÅ 60%.

ÎÁÇÎÐ È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÑÎÑÒÀÂËÅÍ ÏÎ ÌÀÒÅÐÈÀËÀÌ ÑËÓÆÁÛ ÑÎËÍÖÀ
ÁÎÓËÄÅÐ, ÑØÀ http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
ÖÅÍÒÐÀ ÑÁÎÐÀ È ÎÁÐÀÁÎÒÊÈ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÈÍÄÅÊÑÎÂ,
ÁÐÞÑÑÅËÜ, ÁÅËÜÃÈß http://sidc.oma.be/,
ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ (ÒÐÎÈÖÊ, ÐÎÑÑÈß) http://www.izmiran.ru