Äîêóìåíò âçÿò èç êýøà ïîèñêîâîé ìàøèíû. Àäðåñ îðèãèíàëüíîãî äîêóìåíòà : http://www.izmiran.rssi.ru/services/saf/archive/ru/2015/obzor20151005.ru.txt Äàòà èçìåíåíèÿ: Tue Oct 6 14:32:41 2015 Äàòà èíäåêñèðîâàíèÿ: Sun Apr 10 01:01:03 2016 Êîäèðîâêà: koi8-r Ïîèñêîâûå ñëîâà: http news.cosmoport.com 2001 10 24 5.htm

ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÎÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ ÇÀ ÑÅÍÒßÁÐÜ 2015 ã.
Wñåí.= 78.1 ,
×ÒÎ ÄÀ¨Ò ÄËß 74 ÌÅÑßÖÀ (2015, ìàðò) ÐÀÇÂÈÒÈß ÒÅÊÓÙÅÃÎ 24 ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÃÎ
ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÃËÀÆÅÍÍÎÅ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÏßÒÅÍ

W*ìàðò = 82.7 - â íîâîé ñèñòåìå; 50.0 - â ñòàðîé;
W*ôåâ. = 86.6 - â íîâîé ñèñòåìå; 51.96 - â ñòàðîé;

- Ñ 1 èþëÿ 2015 ã. Öåíòð â Áðþññåëå ïåðåø¸ë íà íîâóþ ñèñòåìó ïîäñ÷¸òà îò-
íîñèòåëüíûõ ÷èñåë ñîëíå÷íûõ ïÿòåí è, ïðàêòè÷åñêè, âñå çíà÷åíèÿ ñìåíèëèñü
âî âñ¸ì ïðîíóìåðîâàííîì ðÿäå ÷èñåë Âîëüôà (ñì. ïî ññûëêå).
Íî Ñëóæáà Ñîëíöà SWPC NOAA â ñîèõ åæåíåäåëíûõ òàáëèöàõ "Recent Solar Indices"
ïðîäëæàåò ïðèäåðæèâàòüñÿ ñòàðîé ñèñòåìû, ïîýòîìó ÿ äàþ W*ÿíâ.
Ïðàêòè÷åñêè âñå ðàáîòû ñ èñïîëüçîâàíèåì ñãëàæåííûõ W* íóæíî ïðèâîäèòü ê
íîâîé ñèñòåìå, åñëè îíà îñòàíåòñÿ.

ÍÀ×ÀËÎ 24 ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ - ßÍÂÀÐÜ 2009 ã., W*min = 2.2 (1.8ñ)
ÂÐÅÌß ÌÀÊÑÈÌÓÌÀ ÒÅÊÓÙÅÃÎ 24 ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÀ - ÀÏÐÅËÜ 2014 ã., W*max = 116.4 (81.9ñ)
ÊÎÍÅÖ 24 ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ (ÒÎ×ÊÀ ÌÈÍÈÌÓÌÀ) - IV - IV 2020 ã.

ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÅ ÅÆÅÄÍÅÂÍÎÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ ÇÀ ÑÅÍÒßÁÐÜ
2015 ã. ÑÎÃËÀÑÍÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ 78 ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÎÁÑÅÐÂÀÒÎÐÈÉ:

1.. 43 6.. 42 11.. 81 16.. 83 21.. 79 26..161
2.. 34 7.. 44 12.. 90 17.. 74 22.. 84 27..169Ì
3.. 29 8.. 42 13.. 83 18.. 70 23.. 95 28..154
4.. 38 9.. 59 14.. 54 19.. 63 24..100 29..117
5.. 26m 10.. 46 15.. 68 20.. 66 25..153 30.. 95

ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÛÉ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀÅÌÛÉ ÏÎÒÎÊ ÐÀÄÈÎÈÇËÓ×ÅÍÈß ÍÀ 10 ñì (2800 MHz)
ÇÀ ÑÅÍÒßÁÐÜ 2015 ã.
Fñåí. = 101.7

ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÛÉ ÏÐÅÄÂÀÐÈÒÅËÜÍÛÉ Àð-ÈÍÄÅÊÑ ÇÀ ÑÅÍÒßÁÐÜ 2015 ã. ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ
ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ ÖÅÍÒÐÀ Â ÏÎÒÑÄÀÌÅ
Àð ñåí. = 15.7
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ÎÁÇÎÐ ÑÎÑÒÎßÍÈß ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ, ÃÅÎÝÔÔÅÊÒÈÂÍÛÕ ßÂËÅÍÈÉ,
È ÈÕ ÂÎÇÄÅÉÑÒÂÈÉ ÍÀ ÎÊÎËÎÇÅÌÍÎÅ ÊÎÑÌÈ×ÅÑÊÎÅ ÏÐÎÑÒÐÀÍÑÒÂÎ
ÍÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ 28.09 - 04.10.2015 ã.
È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÍÀ 05 - 12.10.2015 ã.
ÊÝÐÐÈÍÃÒÎÍÎÂÑÊÈÉ ÎÁÎÐÎÒ 2168, 2169 (07,30.09; 04,57.10.2015)

ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀÒÅËÜÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÎÑÒÀÂÀËÀÑÜ ÍÀ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ ÓÐÎÂ-
ÍÅ, ÓÌÅÍÜØÀßÑÜ Ê ÊÎÍÖÓ ÏÅÐÈÎÄÀ, È 4.10 ÑÒÀËÀ ÍÈÇÊÎÉ. ÐÀÑרÒÍÎÅ,
ÑÐÅÄÍÅÅ ÇÍÀ×ÅÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ ×ÈÑËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄ-
ÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ (íîâîé) ÑÎÑÒÀÂÈËÎ W= 72+50/-55 (Wc = 45+30/-34). ÍÀ ÂÈ-
ÄÈÌÎÌ ÄÈÑÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÏÎÑÒÎßÍÍÎ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÎÑÜ 6 - 1 ÃÐÓÏÏÛ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ Ïß-
ÒÅÍ, ÎÄÍÀ ÈÇ ÊÎÒÎÐÛÕ AR12422 (S20L103,Sp=950 ìäï, Ì18, ñðåäè êîòî-
ðûõ 2 áîëüøèõ) 27.09 ÄÎÑÒÈÃËÀ ÁÎËÜØÈÕ ÐÀÇÌÅÐÎÂ è ÓØËÀ ÇÀ ÇÀÏÀÄÍÛÉ
ËÈÌÁ 4.10, ÎÑÒÀÂÀßÑÜ ÁÎËÜØÎÉ.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÍÈÇÊÈÉ È ÑÐÅÄÍÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎ-
ÂÀÒÅËÜÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ. ÍÀÈÁÎËÅÅ ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÎÅ, ÐÀÑרÒÍÎÅ, ÑÐÅÄÍÅÅ ÇÀ ÏÅ-
ÐÈÎÄ ÇÍÀ×ÅÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ ×ÈÑËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÉ
ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ W = 040+10/-30.

ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÁÛËÀ ÍÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ 28.09 È 2.10, ÍÀ ÑÐÅÄ-
ÍÅÌ 29.09-1.10 È 4.10, È 3.10 - ÍÀ ÍÈÇÊÎÌ. 8 ÂÛÁÐÎÑΠÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÂÎ-
ËÎÊÎÍ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÎÑÜ ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ. ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ ÊÎÐÎÍÎÃÐÀÔÎÂ ÑÎÕÎ È ÑÒÅÐÅÎ
ÇÀÐÅÃÈÑÒÐÈÐÎÂÀÍÎ ÁÎËÅÅ 34 ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÛÕ ÂÛÁÐÎÑÎÂ ÂÅÙÅÑÒÂÀ, ÑÐÅÄÈ ÊÎ-
ÒÎÐÛÕ 2 ÁÛËÈ ÒÈÏÀ "×ÀÑÒÈ×ÍÎÅ ÃÀËÎ II" (óãëîâàÿ øèðèíà 90-180 ãðàä.).

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ÂÑÏÛØÊÈ
to tm te êîî-òû áàëë Å(1-8A) ÀÎ RII/IV CME
ðåíò/îï J/m-2
28.09 0345 0355 0359 S09W67L149 M3.6/SF 1.6E-2 12423
28.09 0720 0735 0758 S22W20L106 1N/M1.1 8.5E-3 12422
28.09 <1257 1318 1356 S22W24L106 1N/M1.1 1.3E-2 12422
28.09 1453 1458 >1503 S20W28L106 M7.6/ 2.8E-2 12422
29.08 0311 0316 0331 S08W78L149 M1.2/Sf 2.6E-3 12423
29.08 0341 0343 >0353 S20W36L106 Sf/M1.1 2.6E-4 12422
29.08 0505 0516 >0523 S21W37L106 M2.9/Sf 1.9E-2 12422
29.08 0533 0537 0549 S09W82L149 M1.2/Sf 2.6E-3 12423
29.08 0553 0556 >0604 S19W37L106 M1.0/ 1.6E-3 12422
29.08 0634 0643 >0646 S20W34L106 1N/M1.4 3.5E-3 12422
29.08 0846 0851 >0959 S10W77L149 M1.3/1N 6.7E-3 12423
29.08 1109 1115 1154 S21W37L106 M1.6/1B 6.1E-3 12422
29.08 1908 1924 1934 S20W36L106 1B/M1.1 1.2E-2 12422
30.09 1049 1059 >1113 S22W46L106 M1.3/1N 1.4E-2 12422
30.09 1314 1320 1328 S23W59L106 1N/M1.1 1.6E-3 12422
01.10 1303 1310 >1315 S23W64L106 M4.5/SN 1.5E-2 12422
02.10 0006 0013 >0032 S19W67L106 M5.5/1N 2.0E-2 12422
02.10 1219 1226 1231 S20W73L106 M1.0/ 4.1E-3 12422
02.10 1708 1718 1731 S19W76L106 M1.0/Sf 2.1E-3 12422
04.10 0234 0241 >0248 S18W79L106 M1.0/ 5.0E-3 12422
ÂÛÁÐÎÑÛ ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ
DSF to te êîîðäèíàòû l â ãðàä. Fl AÎ CME
28.09 >0945 2132 S25E51L019 5
28.09 2017 >0943 S07W67L137 8
29.09 1002 1145 N24E40L016 8
02.10 1720 2259 N28E02L015 5
02.10 1720 2259 N52E33L348 23
02.10 >0933 >1230 N46E27L350 14
02.10 >0933 >1230 N38E15L002 8
02.10 >1254 >0752 N52E47L330 3
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ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÍÀ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ È ÍÈÇ-
ÊÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍßÕ.

ÍÀ ÂÈÄÈÌÎÌ ÄÈÑÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÈÑÜ ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÛÐÛ Ñ ÊÎÎÐÄÈÍÀÒÀÌÈ:
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çíàê N êîíåö Å êîíåö S êîíåö W êîíåö ÎÊÏ R G ÎÁÑÅÐÂÀÒÎÐÈÈ
CH + N25L346 S07L339 S15L011 S00L014 06.10 9 G1 SDO, SOHO...
ÎÊÏ - äàòà âîçìîæíîãî ãåîìàãíèòíîãî âîçìóùåíèÿ â îêîëîçåìíîì êîñìè-
÷åñêîì ïðîñòðàíñòâå;
R - ñêîëüêî îáîðîòîâ íàáëþäàåòñÿ. ÊP - îáñåðâàòîðèÿ Êèò Ïèê.
G - ãåîýôôåêòèâíîñòü íà ïðîøëîì îáîðîòå; A-âîçìóù¸ííàÿ ãåîìàã. îáñò.
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C 1.10/2330 UT ÇÅÌËß ÍÀÕÎÄÈÒÑß Â "+" ÑÅÊÒÎÐÅ ÌÅÆÏËÀÍÅÒÍÎÃÎ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ
ÏÎËß. ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÓÞ ÑÅÊÒÎÐÍÓÞ ÃÐÀÍÈÖÓ ± ÇÅÌËß ÄÎËÆÍÀ ÏÐÎÉÒÈ 20.10.

ÑÅÍÒßÁÐÜ 28 29 30 01 02 03 04 ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ
Wus 120 125 078 073 058 047 018
F10.7 124 129 131 120 107 097 088
Õbcg C1.0 C1.2 C1.2 B8.6 B8.9 B5.3 B2.9 GOES
Sp 1050 1170 1090 950 670 480 150 ìäï
N 1
IMF - - - -/+ + + + ÀÑÅ
å>2 2.0Å+7 2.5Å+6 3.3Å+6 6.7Å+6 1.3+6 7.6E+5 1.9E+6 GOES
Ie>2 pfu GOES
Ap 3 6 3 12 16 13 24 íT BOULDER
Dst íT KIOTO
Amsc 5 7 5 15 13 10 18 íT ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ
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å>2 -ïèêîâûé ïîòîê ýëåêòðîíîâ ñ Å>2 MeV çà ñóòêè â e/(cm2-ster-day);
Ie>2-ìàêñèìàëüíàÿ èíòåíñèâíîñòü ïîòîêà ýëåêòðîíîâ íà ãåîñòàöèîíàðíûõ
îðáèòàõ çà ñóòêè ïî äàííûì GOES 15 â (electrons/cm2-s-sr) - ñîáûòèÿ
ñ ïîòîêîì >/=1000 pfu).

ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎÍÎÂ Ñ Å>2 Ìý ÍÀ ÃÅÎ-
ÑÒÀÖÈÎÍÀÐÍÛÕ ÎÐÁÈÒÀÕ ÍÅ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÑß.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎÍ-
ÎÂ Ñ Å>2 ÌýÂ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß 7 - 13.10.

ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÂÅÑÜ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ ÎÑÒÀËÀÑÜ ÑËÀÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÎÉ.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÑËÀÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨Í-
ÍÎÉ È ÑÏÎÊÎÉÍÎÉ ÂÎ ÂÑÅ ÄÍÈ, ÊÐÎÌÅ 6 - 7.10, ÊÎÃÄÀ ÇÅÌËß ÁÓÄÅÒ ÏÐÎÕÎ-
ÄÈÒÜ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÑÊÎÐÎÑÒÍÎÉ ÏÎÒÎÊ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÃÎ ÂÅÒÐÀ ÎÒ ÏÐÈÝÊÂÀÒÎÐÈÀËÜÍÎÉ
ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÎÉ ÄÛÐÛ. ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÎÑÒÜ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÉ ÁÓÐÈ ÍÅ ÌÅÍÅÅ 60%.

ÎÁÇÎÐ È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÑÎÑÒÀÂËÅÍ ÏÎ ÌÀÒÅÐÈÀËÀÌ ÑËÓÆÁÛ ÑÎËÍÖÀ
ÁÎÓËÄÅÐ, ÑØÀ http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
ÖÅÍÒÐÀ ÑÁÎÐÀ È ÎÁÐÀÁÎÒÊÈ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÈÍÄÅÊÑÎÂ,
ÁÐÞÑÑÅËÜ, ÁÅËÜÃÈß http://sidc.oma.be/,
ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ (ÒÐÎÈÖÊ, ÐÎÑÑÈß) http://www.izmiran.ru