Äîêóìåíò âçÿò èç êýøà ïîèñêîâîé ìàøèíû. Àäðåñ îðèãèíàëüíîãî äîêóìåíòà : http://www.izmiran.rssi.ru/services/saf/archive/ru/2015/obzor20150907.ru.txt Äàòà èçìåíåíèÿ: Mon Sep 7 12:18:44 2015 Äàòà èíäåêñèðîâàíèÿ: Sun Apr 10 01:00:55 2016 Êîäèðîâêà: koi8-r Ïîèñêîâûå ñëîâà: m 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------
ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÎÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ ÇÀ ÀÂÃÓÑÒ 2015 ã.
Wàâã.= 64.6,
×ÒÎ ÄÀ¨Ò ÄËß 73 ÌÅÑßÖÀ (2015, ôåâðàëü) ÐÀÇÂÈÒÈß ÒÅÊÓÙÅÃÎ 24 ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÃÎ
ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÃËÀÆÅÍÍÎÅ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÏßÒÅÍ
W*ôåâ. = 86.6 - â íîâîé ñèñòåìå; 51.96 - â ñòàðîé;
W*ÿíâ. = 89.8 - â íîâîé ñèñòåìå; 53.9 - â ñòàðîé;
- Ñ 1 èþëÿ 2015 ã. Öåíòð â Áðþññåëå ïåðåø¸ë íà íîâóþ ñèñòåìó ïîäñ÷¸òà îò-
íîñèòåëüíûõ ÷èñåë ñîëíå÷íûõ ïÿòåí è, ïðàêòè÷åñêè, âñå çíà÷åíèÿ ñìåíèëèñü
âî âñ¸ì ïðîíóìåðîâàííîì ðÿäå ÷èñåë Âîëüôà (ñì. ïî ññûëêå).
Íî Ñëóæáà Ñîëíöà SWPC NOAA â ñîèõ åæåíåäåëíûõ òàáëèöàõ "Recent Solar Indices"
ïðîäëæàåò ïðèäåðæèâàòüñÿ ñòàðîé ñèñòåìû, ïîýòîìó ÿ äàþ W*ÿíâ.
Ïðàêòè÷åñêè âñå ðàáîòû ñ èñïîëüçîâàíèåì ñãëàæåííûõ W* íóæíî ïðèâîäèòü ê
íîâîé ñèñòåìå, åñëè îíà îñòàíåòñÿ.
Ïðåäâàðèòåëüíàÿ òàáëèöà äîñòîâåðíûõ è óñëîâíî-äîñòîâåðíûõ (8, 9) öèêëîâ ÑÀ
îïóáëèêîâàíà â êîíöå âûïóñêà.

ÍÀ×ÀËÎ 24 ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ - ßÍÂÀÐÜ 2009 ã., W*min = 2.2 (1.8ñ)
ÂÐÅÌß ÌÀÊÑÈÌÓÌÀ ÒÅÊÓÙÅÃÎ 24 ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÀ - ÀÏÐÅËÜ 2014 ã., W*max = 116.4 (81.9ñ)
ÊÎÍÅÖ 24 ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ (ÒÎ×ÊÀ ÌÈÍÈÌÓÌÀ) - IV - IV 2020 ã.

ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÅ ÅÆÅÄÍÅÂÍÎÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ ÇÀ ÀÂÃÓÑÒ
2015 ã. ÑÎÃËÀÑÍÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ 77 ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÎÁÑÅÐÂÀÒÎÐÈÉ:

1.. 64 6..111 11.. 78 16.. 38 21.. 74 26.. 47 31.. 35
2.. 52 7..112M 12.. 67 17.. 33m 22.. 72 27.. 58
3.. 61 8.. 92 13.. 55 18.. 39 23.. 80 28.. 45
4.. 91 9.. 76 14.. 45 19.. 51 24.. 82 29.. 56
5.. 93 10.. 68 15.. 39 20.. 64 25.. 69 30.. 55

ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÛÉ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀÅÌÛÉ ÏÎÒÎÊ ÐÀÄÈÎÈÇËÓ×ÅÍÈß ÍÀ 10 ñì (2800 MHz)
ÇÀ ÀÂÃÓÑÒ 2015 ã.
Fàâã. = 105.4

ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÛÉ ÏÐÅÄÂÀÐÈÒÅËÜÍÛÉ Àð-ÈÍÄÅÊÑ ÇÀ ÀÂÃÓÑÒ 2015 ã. ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ
ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ ÖÅÍÒÐÀ Â ÏÎÒÑÄÀÌÅ
Àð àâã. = 13.8
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ÎÁÇÎÐ ÑÎÑÒÎßÍÈß ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ, ÃÅÎÝÔÔÅÊÒÈÂÍÛÕ ßÂËÅÍÈÉ,
È ÈÕ ÂÎÇÄÅÉÑÒÂÈÉ ÍÀ ÎÊÎËÎÇÅÌÍÎÅ ÊÎÑÌÈ×ÅÑÊÎÅ ÏÐÎÑÒÐÀÍÑÒÂÎ
ÍÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ 31.08 - 06.09.2015 ã.
È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÍÀ 07 - 14.09.2015 ã.
ÊÝÐÐÈÍÃÒÎÍÎÂÑÊÈÅ ÎÁÎÐÎÒÛ 2167, 2168 (07,30.09; 04,57.10.2015)

ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀÒÅËÜÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÌÅÍßËÀÑÜ ÎÒ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÃÎ ÄÎ ÍÈÇ-
ÊÎÃÎ (3, 5 -6) ÓÐÎÂÍÅÉ. ÐÀÑרÒÍÎÅ, ÑÐÅÄÍÅÅ ÇÍÀ×ÅÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ
×ÈÑËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ (íîâîé) ÑÎÑÒÀÂÈËÎ W=
37+11/-14 (Wc=23+6/-9). ÍÀ ÂÈÄÈÌÎÌ ÄÈÑÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÏÎÑÒÎßÍÍÎ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀ-
ËÎÑÜ 4-2 ÍÅÁÎËÜØÈÕ, ÑÏÎÊÎÉÍÛÕ ÃÐÓÏÏ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÍÈÇÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀÒÅËÜÍÎÉ
ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ. ÍÀÈÁÎËÅÅ ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÎÅ, ÐÀÑרÒÍÎÅ, ÑÐÅÄÍÅÅ ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ ÇÍÀ×Å-
ÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ ×ÈÑËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ W=
020+20/-10.

ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÁÛËÀ ÍÀ ÍÈÇÊÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ ÒÎËÜÊÎ 31.08 È ÍÀ Î×ÅÍÜ
ÍÈÇÊÎÌ Â ÎÑÒÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÍÈ. 6 ÂÛÁÐÎÑΠÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÎÑÜ ÇÀ
ÏÅÐÈÎÄ. ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ ÊÎÐÎÍÎÃÐÀÔÎÂ ÑÎÕÎ È ÑÒÅÐÅÎ ÇÀÐÅÃÈÑÒÐÈÐÎÂÀÍÎ ÁÎËÅÅ
33 ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÛÕ ÂÛÁÐÎÑΠÂÅÙÅÑÒÂÀ, ÎÄÈÍ ÈÇ ÊÎÒÎÐÛÕ ÁÛË ÒÈÏÀ "×ÀÑÒÈ×-
ÍÎÅ ÃÀËÎ II" (óãëîâàÿ øèðèíà 90-180 ãðàä.).

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ÂÑÏÛØÊÈ
to tm te êîî-òû áàëë Å(1-8A) ÀÎ RII/IV CME
ðåíò/îï J/m-2
ÂÛÁÐÎÑÛ ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ
DSF to te êîîðäèíàòû l â ãðàä. Fl AÎ CME
01.09 >0024 >1317 S05W74L157 11 12408
01.09 0605 0752 S21W80L163 16
02.09 >0049 >1318 N17W24L094 4
04.09 1709 1854 S20E13L020 24
05.09 0542 0637 S14E17L000 18
05.09 <0727 <0840 S20E90L287 0.15R
06.09 0410 0832 N24E73L291 20
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DSF íà ëèìáå (ÅÐL) èçìåðÿåòñÿ ïî âûñîòå íàä ëèìáîì è èçìåðÿåòñÿ â ðàäè-
óñàõ Ñîëíöà.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÍÀ ÍÈÇÊÎÌ È Î×ÅÍÜ
ÍÈÇÊÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍßÕ .

ÍÀ ÂÈÄÈÌÎÌ ÄÈÑÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÈÑÜ ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÛÐÛ Ñ ÊÎÎÐÄÈÍÀÒÀÌÈ:
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çíàê N êîíåö Å êîíåö S êîíåö W êîíåö ÎÊÏ R G ÎÁÑÅÐÂÀÒÎÐÈÈ
CH + N10L099 N02L089 S05L090 N02L104 02.09 9 G1 SDO, SOHO...
CH + N75L050 N65L105 N28L080 N28L233 04.09 1 SDO, SOHO...
CH + N15L333 S01L332 S08L334 N01L348 10.09 8 G1 SDO, SOHO...
ÎÊÏ - äàòà âîçìîæíîãî ãåîìàãíèòíîãî âîçìóùåíèÿ â îêîëîçåìíîì êîñìè-
÷åñêîì ïðîñòðàíñòâå;
R - ñêîëüêî îáîðîòîâ íàáëþäàåòñÿ. ÊP - îáñåðâàòîðèÿ Êèò Ïèê.
G - ãåîýôôåêòèâíîñòü íà ïðîøëîì îáîðîòå; A-âîçìóù¸ííàÿ ãåîìàã. îáñò.
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C 02.09/1522 UT ÇÅÌËß ÍÀÕÎÄÈÒÑß Â "+" ÑÅÊÒÎÐÅ ÌÅÆÏËÀÍÅÒÍÎÃÎ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ
ÏÎËß. ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÓÞ ÑÅÊÒÎÐÍÓÞ ÃÐÀÍÈÖÓ +/- ÇÅÌËß ÄÎËÆÍÀ ÏÐÎÉÒÈ 23.09.

ÀÂÃÓÑÒ 31 01 02 03 04 05 06 ÑÅÍÒßÁÐÜ
Wus 050 049 041 027 036 024 038
F10.7 091 089 088 087 090 085 086
Õbcg B2.8 B2.1 B1.8 B1.7 B1.2 B1.0 B1.0 GOES
Sp 040 090 070 040 060 050 070 ìäï
N 1 1 1 1 1
IMF - - -/+ + + + + ÀÑÅ
å>2 1.5Å+8 1.5Å+8 7.9Å+7 1.2Å+7 8.2E+6 7.7E+7 5.2E+7 GOES
Ie>2 2912 3144 2791 578 371 3188 1973 pfu GOES
Ap 5 6 7 9 15 3 15 íT BOULDER
Dst íT ÊÈÎÒÎ
Amsc 6 8 12 8 19 14 18 íT ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ
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å>2 -ïèêîâûé ïîòîê ýëåêòðîíîâ ñ Å>2 MeV çà ñóòêè â e/(cm2-ster-day);
Ie>2-ìàêñèìàëüíàÿ èíòåíñèâíîñòü ïîòîêà ýëåêòðîíîâ íà ãåîñòàöèîíàðíûõ
îðáèòàõ çà ñóòêè ïî äàííûì GOES 15 â (electrons/cm2-s-sr) - ñîáûòèÿ
ñ ïîòîêîì >/=1000 pfu).

ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎÍÎÂ Ñ Å>2 Ìý ÍÀ ÃÅÎ-
ÑÒÀÖÈÎÍÀÐÍÛÕ ÎÐÁÈÒÀÕ ÍÀ×ÀËÑß 30.08/1345 UT È ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÑß ÄÎ 02.08.
ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÅ ÂÎÇÐÀÑÒÀÍÈÅ ÄÎÑÒÈÃËÎ ÏÎÐÎÃÀ Â 1000 pfu 05.09/1315 È ÍÀÁ-
ËÞÄÀËÑß 5 - 6.09.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎÍ-
ÎÂ Ñ Å>2 ÌýÂ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß 7 - 8 È 12-14.09.

ÌÀËÀß ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÁÓÐß (G1, Ams= 33, äëèò.=12 ÷.) ÎÒÌÅ×ÅÍÀ ÖÅÍÒÐÎÌ Â
ÁÎËÄÅÐÅ Â ÏÅÐÂÓÞ ÏÎËÎÂÈÍÓ ÑÓÒÎÊ 4 ÑÅÍÒßÁÐß. ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ ÝÒÎ ÁÛËÀ
3-÷àñîâàÿ ÑÓÁÁÓÐß. ÎÒÄÅËÜÍÛÅ ÑÓÁÁÓÐÈ ÎÒÌÅ×ÅÍÛ ÒÀÊÆÅ Â ÊÎÍÖÅ ÑÓÒÎÊ 4,5
È 6.09.  ÎÑÒÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÍÈ ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÁÛËÀ ÑËÀÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÎÉ.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÎÇÌÎÆÍÀ ÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÀß ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ 10.
09, ÊÎÃÄÀ ÇÅÌËß ÁÓÄÅÒ ÏÐÎÕÎÄÈÒÜ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÑÊÎÐÎÑÒÍÎÉ ÏÎÒÎÊ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÃÎ ÂÅÒ-
ÐÀ ÎÒ ÏÐÈÝÊÂÀÒÎÐÈÀËÜÍÎÉ ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÎÉ ÄÛÐÛ ÏÎËÎÆÈÒÅËÜÍÎÉ ÏÎËßÐÍÎÑÒÈ. ÂÅ-
ÐÎßÒÍÎÑÒÜ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÉ ÁÓÐÈ ÏÎÐßÄÊÀ 20%.  ÎÑÒÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÍÈ ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁ-
ÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÑÏÎÊÎÉÍÎÉ È ÑËÀÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÎÉ.

ÎÁÇÎÐ È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÑÎÑÒÀÂËÅÍ ÏÎ ÌÀÒÅÐÈÀËÀÌ ÑËÓÆÁÛ ÑÎËÍÖÀ
ÁÎÓËÄÅÐ, ÑØÀ http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
ÖÅÍÒÐÀ ÑÁÎÐÀ È ÎÁÐÀÁÎÒÊÈ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÈÍÄÅÊÑÎÂ,
ÁÐÞÑÑÅËÜ, ÁÅËÜÃÈß http://sidc.oma.be/,
ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ (ÒÐÎÈÖÊ, ÐÎÑÑÈß) http://www.izmiran.ru
Preliminary table of reliable and convention reliable (8, 9) solar cycles
Ïðåäâàðèòóëüíàÿ òàáëèöà äîñòîâåðíûõ è óñëîâíî-äîñòîâåðíûõ (8, 9,) öèêëîâ ÑÀ
№ Òî cycle W*min Òmax. Òmin. W*max. Durat. Incr. Decr.
Y, M Y, M Y, M Y Y Y
8 1833 XI(IX) 12.2 1837 III 1843 VI 244.9 9.67 3.33 6.33
9 1843 VII 17.6 1848 II 1855 XI 219.9 12.42 4.58 7.83
10 1855 XII 6.0 1860 II 1867 II 186.2 11.42 4.17 7.25
11 1867 III 9.9 1870VIII 1878 XI 234.0 11.92 3.42 8.50
12 1878 XII 3.7 1883 XII 1890 II 124.4 11.33 5.0 6.33
13 1890 III 8.3 1894 1901 XII 146.5 12.08 3.83 8.25
14 1902 I 4.5 1906 II 1913 VII 107.1 11.67 4.08 7.59
15 1913 VIII 2.5 1917VIII 1923 VII 175.7 10.08 4.0 6.08
16 1923 VIII 9.4 1928 IV 1933 VIII 130.2 10.25 4.67 5.58
17 1933 IX 5.8 1937 IV 1944 I 198.6 10.5 3.58 6.92
18 1944 II 12.9 1947 V 1954 III 218.7 10.25 3.25 7.00
19 1954 IV 5.1 1958 III 1964 IX 285.0 10.42 3.92 6.50
20 1964 X 14.3 1968 XI 1976 VI 156.6 11.83 4.08 7.75