Äîêóìåíò âçÿò èç êýøà ïîèñêîâîé ìàøèíû. Àäðåñ îðèãèíàëüíîãî äîêóìåíòà : http://www.izmiran.rssi.ru/services/saf/archive/ru/2014/obzor20141103.ru.txt Äàòà èçìåíåíèÿ: Mon Nov 3 13:40:39 2014 Äàòà èíäåêñèðîâàíèÿ: Sun Apr 10 00:59:18 2016 Êîäèðîâêà: koi8-r Ïîèñêîâûå ñëîâà: sn 1987a

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ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÎÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ ÇÀ ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ 2014 ã.
Wîêò.= 60.6,
×ÒÎ ÄÀ¨Ò ÄËß 63 ÌÅÑßÖÀ (2014, ÀÏÐÅËÜ) ÐÀÇÂÈÒÈß ÒÅÊÓÙÅÃÎ 24 ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÃÎ
ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ ÑÃËÀÆÅÍÍÎÅ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÏßÒÅÍ
W*ìàðò = 81.9
ÍÀ×ÀËÎ 24 ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ - ßÍÂÀÐÜ 2009 ã. Ñ W* = 1.8
ÍÀÈÁÎËÅÅ ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÎÅ ÂÐÅÌß ÌÀÊÑÈÌÓÌÀ - ìàé -èþíü 2014 ã.
ÍÀÈÁÎËÅÅ ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÀß ÂÛÑÎÒÀ ÌÀÊÑÈÌÓÌÀ - Wmax = 84

ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÅ ÅÆÅÄÍÅÂÍÎÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ ÇÀ ÎÊ-
ÒßÁÐÜ 2014 ã. ÑÎÃËÀÑÍÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ 69 ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÎÁÑÅÐÂÀÒÎÐÈÈ

1.. 91 6.. 46 11.. 20m 16.. 47 21.. 72 26.. 89 31.. 54
2.. 85 7.. 46 12.. 20 17.. 43 22.. 83 27.. 72
3.. 79 8.. 50 13.. 28 18.. 41 23.. 89 28.. 68
4.. 71 9.. 40 14.. 50 19.. 62 24.. 93Ì 29.. 62
5.. 60 10.. 24 15.. 60 20.. 74 25.. 92 30.. 69

ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÛÉ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀÅÌÛÉ ÏÎÒÎÊ ÐÀÄÈÎÈÇËÓ×ÅÍÈß ÍÀ 10 ñì (2800 MHz)
ÇÀ ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ 2014 ã.
Fîêò.= 153.4

ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÛÉ Àð-ÈÍÄÅÊÑ ÇÀ ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ 2014 ã. ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ
ÖÅÍÒÐÀ Â ÏÎÒÑÄÀÌÅ Àð îêò.= 8.6


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ÎÁÇÎÐ ÑÎÑÒÎßÍÈß ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ, ÃÅÎÝÔÔÅÊÒÈÂÍÛÕ ßÂËÅÍÈÉ,
È ÈÕ ÂÎÇÄÅÉÑÒÂÈÉ ÍÀ ÎÊÎËÎÇÅÌÍÎÅ ÊÎÑÌÈ×ÅÑÊÎÅ ÏÐÎÑÒÐÀÍÑÒÂÎ
ÍÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ 27.10 - 02.11.2014 ã.
È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÍÀ 03 - 10.11.2014 ã.
ÊÝÐÐÈÍÃÒÎÍÎÂÑÊÈÉ ÎÁÎÐÎÒ 2156 (15,00.10.2014)

ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀÒÅËÜÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÁÛËÀ ÍÀ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ. ÐÀÑ-
רÒÍÎÅ, ÑÐÅÄÍÅÅ ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ, ÇÍÀ×ÅÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ ×ÈÑËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ
ÏßÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ ÑÎÑÒÀÂÈËÎ W = 058+41/-15. ÍÀ ÂÈÄÈÌÎÌ
ÄÈÑÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÏÎÑÒÎßÍÍÎ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÈÑÜ ÎÒ 5 ÄÎ 9 ÃÐÓÏÏ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ,
ÑÐÅÄÈ ÊÎÒÎÐÛÕ ÎÄÍÀ ÁÛËÀ ÃÈÃÀÍÒÑÊÎÉ:
AR12192 (S13L252, CMP 23.10.2014, Sp max = 2750 mvh) - ñòàëà ñàìîé
áîëüøîé ãðóïïîé ïÿòåí òåêóùåãî ñîëíå÷íîãî öèêëà è çà âðåìÿ ïðîõîæäå-
íèÿ ïðîèçâåëà 6 âñïûøåê áàëëà Õ è 26 - áàëëà Ì. Èíòåðåñíîé îñîáåí-
íîñòüþ ýòèõ âñïûøåê - ïðàêòè÷åñêè ïîëíîå îòñóòñòâèå çíà÷èìûõ âûáðî-
ñîâ êîðîíàëüíîãî âåùåñòâà (1 âî âñïûøêå Ì4.0 24.10) è äîñòàòî÷íî
ñëàáûå âñïëåñêè â äì- è ì- äèàïàçîíàõ ðàäèîâîëí, ÷òî ìîæåò ãîâîðèòü
î çàêðûòîñòè ìàãíèòíîé êîíôèãóðàöèè â ìåñòå îñóùåñòâëåíèÿ âñïûøåê -
ñèëüíûå ìàãíèòíûå ïîëÿ?. Îòñþäà îòñóòñòâèå ÑÏÑ, ÷àñòèöû ïðîñòî íå
ìîãëè âûéòè.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÑÐÅÄÍÈÉ È Ê ÊÎÍÖÓ ÏÅÐÈÎÄÀ ÍÈÇÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÍÈ
ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀÒÅËÜÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ. ÍÀÈÁÎËÅÅ ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÎÅ, ÐÀÑרÒÍÎÅ, ÑÐÅÄ-
ÍÅÅ ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ ÇÍÀ×ÅÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ ×ÈÑËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀ-
ÐÎÄÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ W = 040+10/-20.

ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÁÛËÀ ÍÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ 27 ÎÊÒßÁÐß, ÍÀ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ-
28 - 30.10, ÍÀ ÍÈÇÊÎÌ - Â ÎÑÒÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÍÈ. ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÎÑÜ 2 ÂÛÁ-
ÐÎÑÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ. ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ ÊÎÐÎÍÎÃÐÀÔΠÑÎÕÎ È ÑÒÅÐÅÎ ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈ-
ÎÄ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÎÑÜ 52 ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÛÕ ÂÛÁÐÎÑÀ ÂÅÙÅÑÒÂÀ, ÎÄÈÍ ÈÇ ÊÎÒÎÐÛÕ ÁÛË
ÒÈÏÀ "×ÀÑÒÈ×ÍÎÅ ÃÀËÎ III" È 5 - ÒÈÏÀ "×ÀÑÒÈ×ÍÎÅ ÃÀËÎ II".

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ÂÑÏÛØÊÈ
to tm te êîî-òû áàëë Å(1-8A) ÀÎ RII/IV CME
ðåíò/îï J/m-2
27.10 0001 0034 >1022 S14W44L252 3B/M7.1 1.0E-01 12192
27.10 0144 0202 >0211 S14W44L252 M1.0/ 1.3E-02 12192
27.10 0335 0341 >0348 S13W45L252 M1.3/ 7.3E-03 12192
27.10 ~0552 0715 1348 S18W48L252 2B/C9.6 3.7E-03 12192
0959 1009 >1026 2B/M6.7 9.3E-02 12192
27.10 1404 1447 <1531 S17W52L252 2B/X2.0 4.5E-01 12192
27.10 ~1524 1740 0009 S19W56L252 1F/M1.4 8.6E-03 12192
28.10 0215 0242 0427 S14W61L252 M3.4/1B 7.6E-02 12192
0221 0332 0427 S14W61L252 1B/M6.6 5.2E-02 12192
28.10 1354 1406 >1423 S18W72L252 M1.6/SF 2.0E-02 12192
29.10 0603 0820 >0852 S14W81L252 M1.0/SF 7.6E-02 12192
29.10 0954 1001 >1006 S18W77L252 M1.2 5.5E-03 12192
29.10 1419 1433 1507 S16W81L252 SF/M1.4 1.9E-02 12192
29.10 1606 1620 >1633 S14W82L252 M1.0/ 1.2E-02 12192
29.10 1847 1850 >1852 S13W47L252 M1.3/ 1.9E-03 12192
29.10 2118 2122 >2125 S09W88L252 M2.3/ 4.9E-03 12192
30.10 0034 0037 >0040 S14W81L252 M1.3/ 2.7E-03 12192
30.10 0119 0135 >0156 S14W86L252 M3.5/ 4.7E-02 12192
30.10 0417 0428 0439 S16W89L252 M1.2/SF 9.0E-03 12192

ÂÛÁÐÎÑÛ ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ
DSF to te êîîðäèíàòû l â ãðàä. Fl AÎ CME
01.11 >0430 <0705 S28E54L068 >15 C2.7 CME
02.11 >1429 <0700 S27W29l138 7
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ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÍÀ ÍÈÇÊÎÌ È
ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ ÓÐÎÂÍßÕ.

ÍÀ ÂÈÄÈÌÎÌ ÄÈÑÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÈÑÜ ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÛÐÛ Ñ ÊÎÎÐÄÈÍÀÒÀÌÈ:
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çíàê N êîíåö Å êîíåö S êîíåö W êîíåö ÎÊÏ R G ÎÁÑÅÐÂÀÒÎÐÈÈ
CH + N65L159 N52L128 N06L164 N08L165 03.11 3 SDO,SOHO....
ÎÊÏ - äàòà âîçìîæíîãî ãåîìàãíèòíîãî âîçìóùåíèÿ â îêîëîçåìíîì êîñìè-
÷åñêîì ïðîñòðàíñòâå;
R - ñêîëüêî îáîðîòîâ íàáëþäàåòñÿ. ÊP - îáñåðâàòîðèÿ Êèò Ïèê.
G - ãåîýôôåêòèâíîñòü íà ïðîøëîì îáîðîòå; A -âîçìóù¸ííàÿ ãåîìàã. îáñò.
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C 30.10/16 UT ÇÅÌËß ÍÀÕÎÄÈÒÑß Â "-" ÑÅÊÒÎÐÅ ÌÅÆÏËÀÍÅÒÍÎÃÎ ÌÀÃÍÈÒ-
ÍÎÃÎ ÏÎËß. ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÓÞ ÑÅÊÒÎÐÍÓÞ ÃÐÀÍÈÖÓ -/+ ÇÅÌËß ÄÎËÆÍÀ ÏÐÎÉÒÈ 5.11.

ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ 27 28 29 30 31 01 02 ÍÎßÁÐÜ
Wus 120 109 084 121 071 082 091
F10.7 188 167 150 140 121 120 124
Õbcg Ñ2.6 Ñ2.4 Ñ2.4 Ñ1.3 Â8.5 Â4.9 Â4.2 GOES
Sp 2530 2790 1630 560 170 180 310 ìäï
N 1 4 2
IMF + + + +/- - - - ÀÑÅ
å>2 2.4E+7 3.0Å+7 6.2Å+7 6.7Å+7 5.1Å+7 2.2E+7 2.4E+7 GOES
Ie>2 1466 2522 1475 6898 857 pfu GOES
Ap 14 14 9 5 6 6 8 íÒ
Dst íÒ ÊÈÎÒÎ
Amsc 13 10 8 6 6 7 8 íÒ ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ
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å>2 - ïèêîâûé ïîòîê çà ýëåêòðîíîâ ñ Å>2 MeV çà ñóòêè â e/(cm2-ster-day)
Ie>2-ìàêñèìàëüíàÿ èíòåíñèâíîñòü ïîòîêà ýëåêòðîíîâ íà ãåîñòàöèîíàðíûõ
îðáèòàõ çà ñóòêè (Ie >2) ïî äàííûì GOES 15 â (electrons/cm2-s-sr)
(ñîáûòèÿ ñ ïîòîêîì >1000 pfu).

ÌÀËÎÅ ÏÐÎÒÎÍÍÎÅ ÑÎÁÛÒÈÅ ÎÒ ÇÀËÈÌÁÎÂÎÃÎ ÈÑÒÎ×ÍÈÊÀ ÍÀ×ÀËÎÑÜ 1 ÍÎßÁÐß È
ÏÐÎÄÎËÆÀÅÒÑß ÍÀ ÂÐÅÌß ÍÀÏÈÑÀÍÈß ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇÀ:
Pr <10 MeV)
ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎÍÎÂ Ñ Å>2 Ìý ÍÀ ÃÅÎ-
ÑÒÀÖÈÎÍÀÐÍÛÕ ÎÐÁÈÒÀÕ ÍÀ×ÀËÑß 29.10 È ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÑß 29 - 31.10.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎÍÎÂ
Ñ Å>2 ÌýÂ ÍÅ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß.

ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÁÛËÀ ÑËÀÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÎÉ È ÑÏÎÊÎÉÍÎÉ.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÑËÀÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÎÉ.


ÎÁÇÎÐ È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÑÎÑÒÀÂËÅÍ ÏÎ ÌÀÒÅÐÈÀËÀÌ ÑËÓÆÁÛ ÑÎËÍÖÀ
ÁÎÓËÄÅÐ, ÑØÀ http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
ÖÅÍÒÐÀ ÑÁÎÐÀ È ÎÁÐÀÁÎÒÊÈ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÈÍÄÅÊÑÎÂ,
ÁÐÞÑÑÅËÜ, ÁÅËÜÃÈß http://sidc.oma.be/,
ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ (ÒÐÎÈÖÊ, ÐÎÑÑÈß) http://www.izmiran.ru