Äîêóìåíò âçÿò èç êýøà ïîèñêîâîé ìàøèíû. Àäðåñ îðèãèíàëüíîãî äîêóìåíòà : http://www.izmiran.rssi.ru/services/saf/archive/ru/2014/obzor20141027.ru.txt Äàòà èçìåíåíèÿ: Mon Oct 27 09:23:05 2014 Äàòà èíäåêñèðîâàíèÿ: Sun Apr 10 00:59:16 2016 Êîäèðîâêà: koi8-r Ïîèñêîâûå ñëîâà: ï ï ï ï ï ï ï ï ï ï ï ï ï ï ï ï ï ð ï ð ï

ÎÁÇÎÐ ÑÎÑÒÎßÍÈß ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ, ÃÅÎÝÔÔÅÊÒÈÂÍÛÕ ßÂËÅÍÈÉ,
È ÈÕ ÂÎÇÄÅÉÑÒÂÈÉ ÍÀ ÎÊÎËÎÇÅÌÍÎÅ ÊÎÑÌÈ×ÅÑÊÎÅ ÏÐÎÑÒÐÀÍÑÒÂÎ
ÍÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ 18 - 26.10.2014 ã.
È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÍÀ 27.10 - 03.11.2014 ã.
ÊÝÐÐÈÍÃÒÎÍÎÂÑÊÈÉ ÎÁÎÐÎÒ 2156 (15,00.10.2014)

ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀÒÅËÜÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÁÛËÀ ÍÀ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ. ÐÀÑ-
רÒÍÎÅ, ÑÐÅÄÍÅÅ ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ (9 ñóò.), ÇÍÀ×ÅÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ ×ÈÑËÀ
ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ ÑÎÑÒÀÂÈËÎ W = 067+21/-31. ÍÀ
ÂÈÄÈÌÎÌ ÄÈÑÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÏÎÑÒÎßÍÍÎ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÈÑÜ ÎÒ 2 ÄÎ 7 ÍÅÁÎËÜØÈÕ ÃÐÓÏÏ
ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ. AR12192 (S13L252, CMP 23.10.2014, Sp max= 2750 mvh)
- ñòàëà ñàìîé áîëüøîé ãðóïïîé ïÿòåí òåêóùåãî ñîëíå÷íîãî öèêëà è óæå
ïðîèçâåëà ÷åòûðå âñïûøêè áàëëà Õ. Âûøëà èç-çà âîñòî÷íîãî ëèìáà â ïðî-
öåññå ïîñòîÿííîãî âñïëûòèÿ çíà÷èìûõ ìàãíèòíûõ ïîòîêîâ â ñåâåðî-çàïàä-
íîé ÷àñòè àêòèâíîé îáëàñòè, êîòîðûå îáåñïå÷èëè îñóùåñòâëåíèå äâóõ ïå-
ðèîäîâ áîëüøèõ âñïûøåê: 1. 19 - 20.10 (36 ÷.) 1 áîëüøàÿ âñïûøêà;
2. 22.10 (14 ÷.) - 2; 3. 24 - 26.10 (60 ÷.) - 3. Íà âðåìÿ âûïóñêà îá-
çîðà ãðóïïà ïÿòåí ñòàáèëèçèðîâàëàñü è äî âñïëûòèÿ íîâîãî ìàãíèòíîãî
ïîòîêà áîëüøèõ âñïûøåê ïîêà áîëüøå íå áóäåò. Èíòåðåñíîé îñîáåííîñòüþ
áîëüøèõ âñïûøåê â äàííîé àêòèâíîé îáëàñòè îòñóòñòâèå çíà÷èìûõ âûáðî-
ñîâ êîðîíàëüíîãî âåùåñòâà è äîñòàòî÷íî ñëàáûå âñïëåñêè â äì è ì äèà-
ïàçîíàõ ðàäèîâîëí, ÷òî ìoæåò ñâèäåòåëüñòâîâàòü î çàêðûòîñòè ìàãíèòíîé
êîíôèãóðàöèè â ìåñòå îñóùåñòâëåíèÿ ýòèõ âñïûøåê - ñèëüíûå ìàãíèòíûå
ïîëÿ?. Îòñþäà è îòñóòñòâèå ñîëíå÷íûõ ïðîòîííûõ ñîáûòèé, ÷àñòèöû íå ìî-
ãóò âûéòè.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÑÐÅÄÍÈÉ È, ÏÎÑËÅ 30.10, ÍÈÇÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÍÈ
ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀÒÅËÜÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ. ÍÀÈÁÎËÅÅ ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÎÅ, ÐÀÑרÒÍÎÅ, ÑÐÅÄ-
ÍÅÅ ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ ÇÍÀ×ÅÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ ×ÈÑËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓ-
ÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ W = 040+10/-20.

ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÁÛËÀ ÍÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ 19, 22, 25 È 26 ÎÊÒßÁÐß,
ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ -  ÎÑÒÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÍÈ. ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÎÑÜ 3 ÂÛÁÐÎÑÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ
ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ. ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ ÊÎÐÎÍÎÃÐÀÔÎÂ ÑÎÕÎ È ÑÒÅÐÅÎ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÎÑÜ 38 ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜ-
ÍÛÕ ÂÛÁÐÎÑÀ ÂÅÙÅÑÒÂÀ, ÎÄÈÍ ÈÇ ÊÎÒÎÐÛÕ ÁÛË ÒÈÏÀ "×ÀÑÒÈ×ÍÎÅ ÃÀËÎ II".

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ÂÑÏÛØÊÈ
to tm te êîî-òû áàëë Å(1-8A) ÀÎ RII/IV CME
ðåíò/îï J/m-2
18.10 0702 0758 0849 S13E71L252 M1.6/SF 6.6E-02 12192
19.10 0417 0503 0548 S14E64L252 X1.1/SN 3.9E-01 12192
20.10 0900 0911 >0920 S14E42L252 M3.9/1N 2.8E-02 12192
20.10 1600 1637 2023 S14E37L252 M4.5/2N 9.9E-02 12192
20.10 1855 1902 1904 S15E46L252 M1.4/ 5.2E-03 12192
20.10 1953 2004 >2013 S14E36L252 M1.7/ 1.5E-02 12192
20.10 2211 2255 0007 S14E36L252 1N/M1.2 1.7E-02 12192
21.10 1335 1338 >1340 S14E35L252 M1.2/ 1.4E-03 12192
22.10 0116 0159 >0228 S13E21L252 M8.7/ 2.1E-01 12192
22.10 0511 0517 >0521 S15E14L252 M2.7/ 1.0E-02 12192
22.10 1402 1428 2230 S14E13L252 X1.6/2B 3.4E-01 12192
22.10 1551 1557 >1603 S11E88L164 M1.4/ 7.5E-03 12197
23.10 0944 0950 >0956 S16E03L252 M1.1/1F 5.3E-03 12192
24.10 0737 0748 >0753 S19W05L252 M4.0/ 2.3E-02 12192 II/1
24.10 2050 2141 0014 S16W21L252 3B/X3.1 8.6E-01 12192
25.10 1338 1708 ~0007 S16W31L252 3B/X1.0 3.9E-01 12192 +(C5.1, C9.7)
26.10 1004 1056 1253 S14W37L252 X2.0/ 3.4E-01 12192
26.10 1708 1717 >1730 S13W38L252 M1.0/ 9.9E-03 12192
26.10 1807 1815 >1820 S14W37L252 M4.2/ 2.3E-02 12192
26.10 1843 1849 >1856 S14W38L252 M1.9/ 1.0E-02 12192
26.10 1959 2021 >2045 S15W45L252 M2.4/ 5.2E-02 12192

ÂÛÁÐÎÑÛ ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ
DSF to te êîîðäèíàòû l â ãðàä. Fl AÎ CME
21.10 >1717 <1745 S20E32L236 10 12192
21.10 >2328 <1344 S24W60L328 8
22.10 2054 2106 S41E17L237 17
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ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÍÀ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ È
ÍÈÇÊÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ. ÁÎËÜØÈÅ È ÌÎÙÍÛÅ ÂÑÏÛØÊÈ ÂÎÇÌÎÆÍÛ Â AR12192 ÒÎËÜÊÎ
 ÑËÓ×ÀÅ ÂÑÏËÛÒÈß ÍÎÂÎÃÎ ÇÍÀ×ÈÌÎÃÎ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ.

ÍÀ ÂÈÄÈÌÎÌ ÄÈÑÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÈÑÜ ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÛÐÛ Ñ ÊÎÎÐÄÈÍÀÒÀÌÈ:
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çíàê N êîíåö Å êîíåö S êîíåö W êîíåö ÎÊÏ R G ÎÁÑÅÐÂÀÒÎÐÈÈ
CH + N18L302 N17L304 S07L312 N05L325 20.10 1 SDO,SOHO....
CH + N45L302 N30L300 N20L308 N30L312 21.10 1 SDO,SOHO....
Âîçìîæíî ýòî îäíà î÷åíü âûòÿíóòàÿ ÊÄ;
ÎÊÏ - äàòà âîçìîæíîãî ãåîìàãíèòíîãî âîçìóùåíèÿ â îêîëîçåìíîì êîñìè-
÷åñêîì ïðîñòðàíñòâå;
R - ñêîëüêî îáîðîòîâ íàáëþäàåòñÿ. ÊP - îáñåðâàòîðèÿ Êèò Ïèê.
G - ãåîýôôåêòèâíîñòü íà ïðîøëîì îáîðîòå; A -âîçìóù¸ííàÿ ãåîìàã. îáñò.
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C 18.10/1230 UT ÇÅÌËß ÍÀÕÎÄÈÒÑß Â "+" ÑÅÊÒÎÐÅ ÌÅÆÏËÀÍÅÒÍÎÃÎ ÌÀÃÍÈÒ-
ÍÎÃÎ ÏÎËß. ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÓÞ ÑÅÊÒÎÐÍÓÞ ÃÐÀÍÈÖÓ -/+ ÇÅÌËß ÄÎËÆÍÀ ÏÐÎÉÒÈ 1.11.

ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Wus 060 086 093 120 123 126 147 115 138
F10.7 160 173 185 199 216 227 218 219 217
Õbcg Â8.3 Ñ1.2 Ñ1.3 Ñ1.5 Ñ1.5 Ñ1.3 Ñ1.6 Ñ1.8 C1.8
Sp 1560 1850 2430 2790 3120 3090 2820 2810 3020 ìäï
N 1 1 1 2
IMF -/+ + + + + + + + +
å>2 7.1E+6 9.7Å+6 7.3Å+6 5.0Å+7 3.2Å+8 2.1E+8 1.6E+8 5.8E+7 4.4E-7
Ie>2 2238 11816 6898 6244 1907 3487 pfu
Ap 15 10 27 15 15 7 10 9 12 íÒ
Dst -34 -42 -54 -47 -51 -34 -44 -36 -34 íÒ
Amsc 21 11 20 16 15 12 11 7 11 íÒ
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å>2 - ïèêîâûé ïîòîê çà ýëåêòðîíîâ ñ Å>2 MeV çà ñóòêè â e/(cm2-ster-day)
Ie>2-ìàêñèìàëüíàÿ èíòåíñèâíîñòü ïîòîêà ýëåêòðîíîâ íà ãåîñòàöèîíàðíûõ
îðáèòàõ çà ñóòêè (Ie >2) ïî äàííûì GOES 15 â (electrons/cm2-s-sr)
(ñîáûòèÿ ñ ïîòîêîì >1000 pfu).

ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎÍÎÂ Ñ Å>2 Ìý ÍÀ ÃÅÎ-
ÑÒÀÖÈÎÍÀÐÍÛÕ ÎÐÁÈÒÀÕ ÍÀ×ÀËÑß 21.10 È ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÑß 21 - 26.10.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎÍÎÂ
Ñ Å>2 ÌýÂ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß 27 - 28.10.

ÌÀËÀß ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÁÓÐß ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ ÇÀÐÅÃÈÑÒÐÈÐÎÂÀÍÀ 18 ÎÊÒßÁÐß (G1,
Ams=29, äëèò.=12 ÷.), À ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ ÖÅÍÒÐÀ Â ÁÎËÄÅÐÅ 20.10 (G1, Ams = 30,
äëèò.=18 ÷.) È ÑÓÁÁÓÐÈ Â ÑÎÎÒÂÅÒÑÒÂÓÞÙÈÅ ÄÍÈ. Â ÄÐÓÃÈÅ ÄÍÈ ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß
ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÁÛËÀ ÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÎÉ È ÑËÀÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÎÉ.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÎÉ È ÑËÀ-
ÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÎÉ.


ÎÁÇÎÐ È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÑÎÑÒÀÂËÅÍ ÏÎ ÌÀÒÅÐÈÀËÀÌ ÑËÓÆÁÛ ÑÎËÍÖÀ
ÁÎÓËÄÅÐ, ÑØÀ http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
ÖÅÍÒÐÀ ÑÁÎÐÀ È ÎÁÐÀÁÎÒÊÈ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÈÍÄÅÊÑÎÂ,
ÁÐÞÑÑÅËÜ, ÁÅËÜÃÈß http://sidc.oma.be/,
ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ (ÒÐÎÈÖÊ, ÐÎÑÑÈß) http://www.izmiran.ru