Äîêóìåíò âçÿò èç êýøà ïîèñêîâîé ìàøèíû. Àäðåñ îðèãèíàëüíîãî äîêóìåíòà : http://www.izmiran.rssi.ru/services/saf/archive/ru/2014/obzor20140203.ru.txt Äàòà èçìåíåíèÿ: Mon Feb 3 11:47:07 2014 Äàòà èíäåêñèðîâàíèÿ: Sun Apr 10 00:57:40 2016 Êîäèðîâêà: koi8-r Ïîèñêîâûå ñëîâà: dark nebula

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ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÎÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ ÇÀ ßÍÂÀÐÜ 2014 ã.
Wÿíâ.= 82.0,
×ÒÎ ÄÀ¨Ò ÄËß 61 ÌÅÑßÖÀ (2013, ÈÞËÜ) ÐÀÇÂÈÒÈß ÒÅÊÓÙÅÃÎ 24 ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎ-
ÃÎ ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ ÑÃËÀÆÅÍÍÎÅ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÏßÒÅÍ
W*èþëü. = 65.5
ÍÀ×ÀËÎ 24 ÖÈÊËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ - ßÍÂÀÐÜ 2009 ã. Ñ W* = 1.8
ÍÀÈÁÎËÅÅ ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÎÅ ÂÐÅÌß ÌÀÊÑÈÌÓÌÀ - XI 2013 - I 2014 ã.
ÍÀÈÁÎËÅÅ ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÀß ÂÛÑÎÒÀ ÌÀÊÑÈÌÓÌÀ - Wmax = 68 - 75.

ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÅ ÅÆÅÄÍÅÂÍÎÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ ÇÀ ßÍÂÀÐÜ
2013 ã. ÑÎÃËÀÑÍÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ 63 ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÎÁÑÅÐÂÀÒÎÐÈÉ
1.. 87 6..117M 11.. 99 16.. 56 21.. 90 26.. 68 31.. 65
2.. 93 7.. 98 12.. 93 17.. 52m 22..108 27.. 53
3..107 8.. 75 13.. 82 18.. 81 23..102 28.. 59
4.. 95 9.. 84 14.. 67 19.. 77 24.. 81 29.. 66
5.. 94 10.. 96 15.. 65 20.. 93 25.. 70 30.. 69

ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÛÉ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀÅÌÛÉ ÏÎÒÎÊ ÐÀÄÈÎÈÇËÓ×ÅÍÈß ÍÀ 10 ñì (2800 MHz)
ÇÀ ßÍÂÀÐÜ 2013 ã. Fÿíâ.= 157.4 (ñàìîå áîëüøîå çà÷åíèå çà òåêóùèé öèêë)

ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌÅÑß×ÍÛÉ Àð-ÈÍÄÅÊÑ ÇÀ ßÍÂÀÐÜ 2013 ã ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ
ÖÅÍÒÐÀ Â ÏÎÒÑÄÀÌÅ Àð ÿíâ.= 5.6

Êîíåö ÿíâàðÿ è íà÷àëî ôåâðàëÿ îçíàìåíîâàëèñü ðåçêèì ïîâûøåíèåì âñïû-
øå÷íîé àêòèâíîñòè. Ôîí ðåíòãåíîâñêîãî èçëó÷åíèÿ ñ 27 ÿíâàðÿ íå îïóñ-
êàåòñÿ íèæå çíà÷åíèÿ Ñ1, à ôîíîâûé ïîòîê ðàäèîèçëó÷åíèÿ íà 10 ñì óñ-
òîé÷èâî äåðæèòñÿ âûøå çíà÷åíèé 160 sfu. Ýòî ãîâîðèò â ïîëüçó òîãî,
÷òî ãðÿäóùèé ìàêñèìóì òåêóùåãî öèêëà áóäåò è ìàêñèìóìîì âñïûøå÷íîé
àêòèâíîñòè.
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ÎÁÇÎÐ ÑÎÑÒÎßÍÈß ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ, ÃÅÎÝÔÔÅÊÒÈÂÍÛÕ ßÂËÅÍÈÉ,
È ÈÕ ÂÎÇÄÅÉÑÒÂÈÉ ÍÀ ÎÊÎËÎÇÅÌÍÎÅ ÊÎÑÌÈ×ÅÑÊÎÅ ÏÐÎÑÒÐÀÍÑÒÂÎ
ÍÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ 27.01 - 02.02.2014 ã.
È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÍÀ 03 - 10.02.2014
ÊÝÐÐÈÍÃÒÎÍÎÂÑÊÈÉ ÎÁÎÐÎÒ 2146 (15.39.01.2014)

ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀÒÅËÜÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÎÑÒÀÂÀËÀÑÜ ÍÀ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ,
ÏÎÑÒÅÏÅÍÍÎ ÏÎÂÛØÀßÑÜ, È ÂÛØÅË ÍÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ Â ÊÎÍÖÅ ÏÅÐÈÎÄÀ.ÐÀÑ-
רÒÍÎÅ, ÑÐÅÄÍÅÅ ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ ÇÍÀ×ÅÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ ×ÈÑËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ Ïß-
ÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ ÑÎÑÒÀÂÈËÎ W = 063+35/-26. ÍÀ ÂÈÄÈÌÎÌ ÄÈÑ-
ÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÏÎÑÒÎßÍÍÎ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÈÑÜ 5 - 2 ÃÐÓÏÏ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ, ÎÄÍÀ ÈÇ
ÊÎÒÎÐÛÕ ÁÛËÀ ÑÐÅÄÍÈÕ ÐÀÇÌÅÐÎÂ È ÎÄÍÀ ÊÎ 2.02 ÑÒÀËÀ Î×ÅÍÜ ÁÎËÜØÎÉ:
ÀR11967(S14L117, Sp max=1510 ìäï, Ì19, ñðåäè êîòîðûõ îäíà áîëüøàÿ)-
âòîðîé îáîðîò AR11744, êîòîðàÿ ïðîèçâåëà äâå ïðîòîííûå âïûøêè ÿíâà-
ðÿ; âûøëà èç-çà Å- ëèìáà 26.01 óìåðåííî áîëüøîé ãðóïïîé ïÿòåí â ïå-
ðèîä âñïûøå÷íîãî ýíåðãîâûäåëåíèÿ-çà 69 ÷àñîâ 27 - 29.01 âûäàëà 12
âñïûøåê áàëëà Ì, 30.01 - áîëüøóþ âñïûøêó Ì6.6, à 1-2.02 åù¸ 6Ì.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ È ÑÐÅÄÍÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÍÈ ÏßÒÍÎÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀ-
ÒÅËÜÍÎÉ ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÈ. ÍÀÈÁÎËÅÅ ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÎÅ, ÐÀÑרÒÍÎÅ, ÑÐÅÄÍÅÅ ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ
ÇÍÀ×ÅÍÈÅ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÃÎ ×ÈÑËÀ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÏßÒÅÍ Â ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÅ
W=070+20/-20.

ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÁÛËÀ ÍÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ 30.01, ÍÀ ÓÌÅÐÅÍÍÎÌ-ÂÑÅ
ÎÑÒÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÍÈ, ÊÐÎÌÅ 29.01. ÇÀ ÏÅÐÈÎÄ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÎÑÜ 5 ÂÛÁÐÎÑΠÑÎËÍÅ×-
ÍÛÕ ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ È ÂÛÁÐÎÑ ÂÎËÎÊÍÀ 1.02 (17 ãðàä.) ÌÎÆÅÒ ÁÛÒÜ ÃÅÎÝÔÔÅÊÒÈÂ-
ÍÛÌ. ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ ÊÎÐÎÍÎÃÐÀÔÎÂ ÑÎÕÎ È ÑÒÅÐÅÎ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÎÑÜ 90 ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÛÕ
ÂÛÁÐÎÑΠÂÅÙÅÑÒÂÀ, 2 ÁÛËÈ ÒÈÏÀ "×ÀÑÒÈ×ÍÎÅ ÃÀËÎ III" È 9 -"×ÀÑÒÈ×ÍÎÅ
ÃÀËÎ II".
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ÂÑÏÛØÊÈ
to tm te êîî-òû áàëë Å(1-8A) ÀÎ RII/IV CME
ðåíò/îï J/m-2
27.01 0105 0122 >0139 S16E88L117 M1/0/ 1.5E-2 11967
27.01 0202 0211 >0218 S13E88L117 M1.1/ 8.0E-3 11967
27.01 2205 2310 >2315 S14E88L117 M4.9/ 1.6E-2 11967
28.01 0402 0409 >0413 S14T88L117 M1.5/ 5.6E-3 11967
28.01 0725 0371 >0734 S10E75L117 M3.6/ 8.0E-3 11967
28.01 1134 1138 >1141 S10E72L117 M1.4/ 3.1E-3 11967
28.01 1233 1246 >1250 S14E79L117 M1.3/ 8.9E-3 11967
28.01 1524 1526 1543 S13E88L117 M3.5/SF ------ 11967
28.01 1900 1940 1955 S15E63L117 M4.9/SF 3.1E-2 11967
28.01 2204 2216 2223 S14E76L117 M2.6/1F 1.2E-2 11967
30.01 0633 0639 <0706 S15E54L117 M2.1/SF 9.3E-3 11967
30.01 0754 0811 0825 S11E52L117 M1.1/SF 2.5E-2 11967
30.01 1548 1611 1519 S13E58L117 M6.6/2N 9.7E-2 11967
31.01 1532 1542 >1552 N07E34L119 M1.1/ 9.3E-3 11968
01.02 0112 0125 0142 S11E26L117 M1.0/ 7.7E-3 11967
01.02 0645 0723 0843 S11E23L117 1B/M3.0 2.5E-2 11967
02.02 0624 0634 0706 N12E18L119 M2.6/1B 2.4E-3 11968
02.02 0717 0820 0842 S10E14L117 M2.2/1N 4.3E-2 11967
02.02 0924 0931 1005 S11E13L117 M4.4/1B 2.0E-2 11967
02.02 1401 1406 >1409 N12E14L119 M1.3/ 3.4E-3 11968
02.02 1624 1629 >1636 N09E06L119 M1.0/ 5.0E-3 11968
02.02 1805 1811 >1818 S10E08L117 M3.1/ 1.4E-2 11967
02.02 2124 2204 >2214 S10E01L117 M1.3/ 2.8E-2 11967
ÂÛÁÐÎÑÛ ÂÎËÎÊÎÍ
to te êîîðä.öåíòðà l â ãðàä. Fl AÎ CME
27.01 2001 2019 S22E17L171 17
29.01 ~0058 0200 S31W60L212 21 CME
01.02 0118 0156 S38W63L185 7
01.02 0206 0347 S31E62L060 9
01.02 <1757 <2217 S01W31L153 17 CME
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ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÑÏÛØÅ×ÍÀß ÀÊÒÈÂÍÎÑÒÜ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÍÀ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÌ È
ÂÛÑÎÊÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍßÕ, À Ñ6.02 È ÍÀ ÍÈÇÊÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ. ÂÑÏËÛÒÈÅ Î×ÅÍÜ ÁÎËÜØÎ-
ÃÎ ÍÎÂÎÃÎ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ Â ÖÅÍÒÐÀËÜÍÎÉ ÎÁËÀÑÒÈ AR11967 Â ÊÎÍÖÅ
31.01 ÄÎËÆÅÍ ÁÛË ÏÎÐÎÄÈÒÜ ÑÅÐÈÞ ÁÎËÜØÈÕ ÂÑÏÛØÅÊ,  ÒÎÌ ×ÈÑËÅ È ÁÀË-
ËÀ Õ, ÎÄÍÀÊÎ ÏÎÊÀ ÀÎ ÂÛÄÀËÀ ÒÎËÜÊÎ ÂÒÎÐÎÉ ÂÑÏËÅÑÊ ÂÑÏÛØÅÊ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÃÎ
ÁÀËËÀ È ÀÊÒÈÂÈÇÈÐÎÂÀËÀ ÂÑÏÛØÊÈ ÑÐÅÄÍÅÃÎ ÁÀËËÀ Â, ÑÈÌÌÅÒÐÈ×ÍÎÉ ÎÒÍÎ-
ÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎ ÝÊÂÀÒÎÐÀ, ÀÎ ÑÅÂÅÐÍÎÃÎ ÏÎËÓØÀÐÈß AR11968. ÂÏÐÎ×ÅÌ ÄÎ ÊÎÍ-
ÖÀ ÑÓÒÎÊ 3 ÔÅÂÐÀËß ÀËÅÐÒ ÍÀ ÁÎËÜØÈÅ ÂÑÏÛØÊÈ ÎÑÒÀ¨ÒÑß.

ÍÀ ÂÈÄÈÌÎÌ ÄÈÑÊÅ ÑÎËÍÖÀ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÈÑÜ ÊÎÐÎÍÀËÜÍÛÅ ÄÛÐÛ Ñ ÊÎÎÐÄÈÍÀÒÀÌÈ:
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çíàê N êîíåö Å êîíåö S êîíåö W êîíåö ÎÊÏ R G ÎÁÑÅÐÂÀÒÎÐÈÈ
CH - N45L036 N40L>006 N10L060 N17L064 9-10.02 6 A SDO, SOHO,....
ÎÊÏ - äàòà âîçìîæíîãî ãåîìàãíèòíîãî âîçìóùåíèÿ â îêîëîçåìíîì êîñìè-
÷åñêîì ïðîñòðàíñòâå;
R - ñêîëüêî îáîðîòîâ íàáëþäàåòñÿ. ÊP - îáñåðâàòîðèÿ Êèò Ïèê.
G - ãåîýôôåêòèâíîñòü íà ïðîøëîì îáîðîòå; A -âîçìóù¸ííàÿ ãåîìàã. îáñò.
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C 1.02/1030 UT ÇÅÌËß ÍÀÕÎÄÈÒÑß Â "-" ÑÅÊÒÎÐÅ ÌÅÆÏËÀÍÅÒÍÎÃÎ ÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÎÃÎ
ÏÎËß. ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÓÞ ÑÅÊÒÎÐÍÓÞ ÃÐÀÍÈÖÓ -/+ ÇÅÌËß ÄÎËÆÍÀ ÏÐÎÉÒÈ 15 ÔÅÂÐÀËß.

ßÍÂÀÐÜ 27 28 29 30 31 01 02 ÔÅÂÐÀËÜ
Wus 062 070 096 112 087 147 163
F10.7 144 157 156 161 166 177 190
Õbcg Ñ1.2 Ñ1.4 Ñ1.0 Ñ1.2 Ñ1.0 Ñ1.4 Ñ1.8 GOES
Sp 490 910 1370 1470 1210 1640 1890 ì.ä.ï.
N 2 1 1
IMF + + + + + +/- - ÀÑÅ
å>2 1.8Å+6 1.5Å+6 1.2Å+6 1.4Å+6 1.3Å+6 1.4E+6 4.7E+5 GOES
Ie>2 pfu GOES
Ap 3 5 7 4 2 5 4 íÒ Àð
Dst íÒ KÈOTO
Amsc 5 8 8 6 6 6 5 íÒ ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ
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å>2 - ïîòîê çà ñóòêè â electrons/cm2-day-sr
Ie>2-ìàêñèìàëüíàÿ èíòåíñèâíîñòü ïîòîêà ýëåêòðîíîâ íà ãåîñòàöèîíàðíûõ
îðáèòàõ çà ñóòêè (Ie >2) ïî äàííûì GOES 15 â (electrons/cm2-s-sr)
(ñîáûòèÿ ñ ïîòîêîì >1000 pfu).

ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎÍÎÂ Ñ Å>2 Ìý ÍÀ ÃÅÎ-
ÑÒÀÖÈÎÍÀÐÍÛÕ ÎÐÁÈÒÀÕ ÍÅ ÍÀÁËÞÄÀËÑß.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÂÛÑÎÊÈÉ ÓÐÎÂÅÍÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀ ÂÛÑÎÊÎÝÍÅÐÃÈ×ÍÛÕ ÝËÅÊÒÐÎ-
ÍÎÂ Ñ Å>2 ÌýÂ ÍÅ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß.

ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÌÅÍßËÀÑÜ ÎÒ ÑÏÎÊÎÉÍÎÉ ÄÎ ÑËÀÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨ÍÍÎÉ.

ÍÀ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÅÉ ÍÅÄÅËÅ ÃÅÎÌÀÃÍÈÒÍÀß ÎÁÑÒÀÍÎÂÊÀ ÎÆÈÄÀÅÒÑß ÑËÀÁÎÂÎÇÌÓÙ¨Í-
ÍÎÉ È ÑÏÎÊÎÉÍÎÉ.

ÎÁÇÎÐ È ÏÐÎÃÍÎÇ ÑÎÑÒÀÂËÅÍ ÏÎ ÌÀÒÅÐÈÀËÀÌ ÑËÓÆÁÛ ÑÎËÍÖÀ
ÁÎÓËÄÅÐ, ÑØÀ http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
ÖÅÍÒÐÀ ÑÁÎÐÀ È ÎÁÐÀÁÎÒÊÈ ÑÎËÍÅ×ÍÛÕ ÈÍÄÅÊÑÎÂ,
ÁÐÞÑÑÅËÜ, ÁÅËÜÃÈß http://sidc.oma.be/,
ÈÇÌÈÐÀÍ (ÒÐÎÈÖÊ, ÐÎÑÑÈß) http://www.izmiran.ru