Документ взят из кэша поисковой машины. Адрес оригинального документа : http://www.izmiran.rssi.ru/services/saf/archive/en/2014/obzor20140714.en.txt Дата изменения: Mon Jul 14 08:39:42 2014 Дата индексирования: Sun Apr 10 00:49:15 2016 Кодировка: koi8-r Поисковые слова: arp 220

Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
Highlights on 07 - 13.07.2014,
Forecast on 14 - 21.07.2014,
Carrington Rotation 2252 ( 28,03.06.2014)

SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY CONTINUED TO REMAIN AT THE HIGH LEVEL UN-
TIL JULY 12. ESTIMATED, WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUN-
SPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM WAS MADE W = 91+34/-30.
ON THE VISIBLE DISK OF THE SUN WERE CONSTANTLY OBSERVED 8 - 11 SUN-
SPOTS GROUPS FROM, AMONG WHOM WERE 2 LARGE: AR12108 (S08L239, Sp =
890 mvh), and AR12109 (S08L220, Sp = 830 mvh) WHICH IS LONGITUDE
COMPLEX ACTIVE REGIONS, QUITE, WITHOUT FLARES OF THE MIDDLE X-RAY
CLASS. THE FIRST OF THESE IS FORMED AT EAST LIMB OF JULY 1. THE
SECOND - APPEARS TO THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK JULY 1, AFTER 4.07 REA-
CHED THE LEVEL OF LARGE GROUPS AND THEIR AREA GRADUALLY DECREASES.

NEXT WEEK THE MIDDLE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED.
ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUM-
BER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED W =
050+20/-20.

FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON A THE HIGH LEVEL AT JUNE 1, THE MIDDLE LEVEL
OBSERVED 9 - 10 JULY AND THE LOW - IN OTHER DAYS. FOR THE PERIOD 2
EJECTIONS OF SOLAR FILAMENTS WERE OBSERVED. BY DATA OF CORONOGRAPHS
SOHO AND STEREO WERE OBSERVED 37 CME, ONE OF WHICH WERE THE TYPE OF
"HALO@ AND 3 - THE TYPE OF "PARTIAL HALO II".

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FLARES to tm te c/p local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME
X-ray/оp J/m-2
08.07 1606 1620 1716 N11E56L161 М6.5/2В 5.9E-2 12113
09.07 0020 0026 >0033 N08E50L161 M1.2/ 5.9E-3 12113
10.07 2229 2234 >2237 N14W86L261 M1.5/ 4.0E-3 12106
DSF to te c/p local. l in deg. Fl AR CME
09.07 1640 1757 S02E11L191 18
10.07 >1859 <0435 N18E47L141 10
--------------------------------------------------------------------

NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON LOW AND, IN SEPARATE DAYS,
AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL.

ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED:
--------------------------------------------------------------------
sign N end е end S end W end EE R G Observatories
CH + N06L254 S05L252 S10L254 S02L259 09.07 2 SDO, SOHO, ..
R - solar rotations; KP - KIT PEAK solar observatory;
EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment.
G - geoeffectivity in last solar rotation;
A-active geomagnetic condition.
---------------------------------------------------------------------

AFTER 07.07/13 UT THE EARTH IS IN "+" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAG-
NETIC FIELD. THE FOLLOWING SECTOR BOUNDER +/- THE EARTH HAS TO PASS ON
JULY, 15 - 16.

JULY 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 JULY
Wus 197 209 183 159 166 145 102
F10.7 198 201 198 177 166 145 127
Хbcg B9.8 С1.0 С1.0 B9.2 В9.2 B9.5 В5.9 GOES
Sp 1980 2280 2230 1790 1490 1420 660 mvh
N 2 1 1
IMF -/+ + + + + + + АСЕ
е>2 7.5E+4 1.1Е+5 6.1Е+4 5.4Е+4 1.5Е+4 7.3E+4 1.5E+5 GOES
Ie>2 pfu GOES
Ap 5 6 7 8 7 6 5 nT Ар
Dst nT KIOTO
Amsc 13 12 13 9 8 10 9 nT IZMIRAN
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е>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV.
Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary orbits
in days according to GOES 15 in (electrons/cm2-s-sr) for events
> 1000 pfu.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH
LEVEL WAS NOT OBSERVED.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH
LEVEL BE NOT EXPECTED.

ALL DAYS THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS REMAINED QUIET AND UNSETTLED.

NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED UNSETTLED AND QUIET.

HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA
OF NOAA SWPC http://www.sec.noaa.gov,
OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER -
SIDC, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3,
OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru