We can check our qualitative conclusion above with some (simple!) math.
The math involved in calculating a planet's gross temperature has
been known for a long time. Basically, the temperature depends only
weakly on distance changes; the temperature goes as the inverse
square root of the distance of the planet to the Sun. What does that mean?
In other words, if you double the distance of a planet from the Sun, the
temperature will drop by the square root of 2, or about 1.4.
Doubling the Earth's
distance from the Sun will drop the mean temperature by about
80 degrees Celsius (Careful here! You cannot use Celsius units for the
actual calculation. You have to use the
Kelvin scale, which has the same units as Celsius, but
starts at 0. In other words, 0K = -273 C. If you take the square root of
the temperature using Celsius you'll get the wrong answer! However, since the
units are the same, an 80 degree drop is the same in both scales).
Specifically, the Earth's average temperature is about 280 degrees
Kelvin (10 Celsius). 280/1.4=200, or a drop of 80 degrees.
At perihelion (nearest point) the Earth/Sun distance is about
147,000,000 km, and at aphelion (farthest point) it's about
152,000,000 km. The change in temperature is then
The largest contributor to the change in seasons is the tilt, or
inclination, of the Earth's spin axis with respect to its orbital plane
(the ecliptic). The usual explanation is as follows: take a flashlight
and a piece of paper. Shine the light straight onto the paper, so you
see an illuminated circle. All the light from the flashlight is in that
circle. Now slowly tilt the paper, so the circle elongates into an
ellipse. All the light is still in that ellipse, but the ellipse
is spread out over more paper. The density of light drops. In
other words, the amount of light per square centimeter drops (the number of
square centimeters increases, however, so the total amount of light stays
the same-- you expect that, as the light from the flashlight has
not changed).
The same is true on the Earth. When the Sun is overhead, the light is falling
straight on you, and so more light (and more heat) hit each square centimeter
of the ground. When the Sun is low, the light gets more
spread out over the surface of the Earth, and less heat (per square centimeter!)
can be absorbed. Since the Earth's axis is tilted, the Sun is higher when you
are on the part of the Earth where the axis points towards the Sun, and
lower on the part of the Earth where the axis points away from the Sun.
For the Northern Hemisphere, the axis points most toward the Sun in June
(specifically, around June 21), and away from the Sun on December 21.
This corresponds to the Winter and Summer Solstices, or the midpoints of
summer and winter. For the Southern Hemisphere, this is
reversed.
There is more, too. In the summer, the Sun is higher, and therefore the
days are longer. This gives the Sun more time to heat the Earth, so it gets
hotter. In the winter, the sun is lower, and the days are short, giving the
Sun less time to heat the Earth. This is a secondary effect.
The distance of the Earth to the Sun is a smaller effect yet, but it does exist!
So the Southern Hemisphere gets slightly hotter summers and slightly colder
winters than the North. But only by a couple of degrees, and only on average.
Your mileage may vary!
January 21, 1998:
Okay, so I made a small mistake on the original page. I'll quote
the original passage, here, and add some notes on the math as
well for those of you interested in the details.
We can check our qualitative conclusion above with some (simple!) math.
The math involved in calculating a planet's gross temperature has
been known for a long time. Basically, the temperature depends only
weakly on distance changes; the temperature goes as the distance
to the one-fourth power (the square root of the square root!). In other
words, if you double the distance of a planet from the Sun, the
temperature will drop by 2^(1/4) or 1.18. Doubling the Earth's
distance from the Sun will only drop the mean temperature by about
50 degrees Celsius (the Earth's average temperature is about 310 degrees
Kelvin or 10 Celsius. 310/1.18=260, a 50 degree drop. The Kelvin scale is
absolute, which means it starts at 0, which is why I used it for the
calculation).
At perihelion (nearest point) the Earth/Sun distance is about
146,000,000 km, and at aphelion (farthest point) it's about
152,000,000 km. The change in temperature is then
( 152,000,000 / 146,000,000 ) ^ 1/4=1.0085
or only 0.85 percent! This turns out to be only 2 degrees Celsius, which is
quite a bit less than the temperature change we see between winter and summer!
Obviously, something else must be going on.
My mistake was that I put in an additional factor of a square root
in there, making the change in temperature a bit too small. I also
used 146 million kilometers for the perihelion distance, and 147 million
is actually a bit better. The
temperature change from winter to summer is about 5 degrees, not 2
as I stated originally. Where I live in Washington, DC, the temperature
in summer hits 35 Celsius easily, and commonly drops to 0 Celsius
in the winter. 35 degrees is a lot more than 5!
To calculate the temperature of a planet, you basically need to assume
that the amount of heat the planet gets from the Sun is balanced
by the amount of heat radiated away by the planet. If this were not
true, the planet would either heat up (if it didn't radiate the heat
away) or it would freeze (if it radiates too much).
Qualitatively: the star gives off heat over its whole surface. That
heat expands in a sphere centered on the Sun, and travels to the
planet. The planet intersects a small piece of it which is equal
to the area of a circle with the same radius as the planet (if I ever
get a chance I'll place a diagram here that shows this graphically...).
The planet absorbs some of
that heat, and, if it rotates quickly, re-radiates it away over
its whole surface.
Quantitatively:
sigma * Tplanet4=
sigma * TSun4 *
4 * pi * radiusSun2 /
(4 * pi * distance2) *
(1-albedo) * pi * radiusplanet2 /
4 * pi * radiusplanet2
where sigma is a constant (not important here, since it cancels
out), T is temperature (for the planet or the Sun, each is labeled
above), distance is the distance from the planet to the Sun, radius
is the radius of the Sun or planet (also labeled), and albedo is
a measure of the reflectivity of a planet. An albedo of 1 means the planet
is a perfect reflector, like a mirror. An albedo of 0 means the planet
absorbs every photon that hits it; it would look black. The Earth has
an albedo of 0.39, as it happens.
We can then do a bit of algebra to get:
Tplanet=TSun *
(radiusSun/2 * distance) 1/2
* (1-albedo)1/4
Phew! From here you can see that the temperature
of the planet depends on the inverse square root of the distance to
the Sun. Note that if you put in the correct numbers for the Earth and
Sun (distance=1.5 x 1013 centimeters, TSun=5780,
radiusSun=7 x 1010 centimeters and albedo=0.39)
you get a temperature of the Earth of about 250 Kelvin. That's about
-20 below Celsius, or -10 Fahrenheit! What gives?
Our atmosphere, that's what gives. Our atmosphere helps keep heat in (by absorbing
some of the radiation re-radiated by the Earth), so you need a correction
factor to our albedo. Without our thin layer of air, the surface temperature
of the Earth would rapidly drop, freezing the oceans solid.
This is called a "greenhouse effect", and is a very real occurrence.
It's when things get out of control that you get a runaway greenhouse
effect. Note also that the temperature on the surface of Venus should
be about -20 Celsius (distance=1.1 x 1013 centimeters, albedo=0.65;
although it's closer to the Sun its albedo is higher, so it should have
about the same temperature as the Earth), but is actually in excess of
500 Celsius (over 900 Fahrenheit!). Should you worry about runaway greenhouse
effect? Take a look at our closest neighbor. You tell me.
My thanks to Bad Readers Darrell Bennett, Eric Carlson and
Georg Zemanek for pointing out
some of my errors!
©2008 Phil Plait. All Rights Reserved.
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