|
Документ взят из кэша поисковой машины. Адрес
оригинального документа
: http://hea-www.harvard.edu/AstroStat/slog/groundtruth.info/AstroStat/slog/2010/12/index.html
Дата изменения: Unknown Дата индексирования: Sat Mar 1 09:29:36 2014 Кодировка: Поисковые слова: п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п п |
Weaving together Astronomy+Statistics+Computer Science+Engineering+Intrumentation, far beyond the growing borders
Archive for December 2010
Here’s a cool illustration of how to use Bayesian analysis in the limit of very little data, when inferences are necessarily dominated by the prior. The question, via Tom Moertel, is: suppose I tell you that a coin always comes up heads, and you proceed to toss it and it does come up heads — how much more do you believe me now?
He also has the answer worked out in detail.
(h/t Doug Burke)
Andrew Gelman says,
Instead of “confidence interval,” let’s say “uncertainty interval”