Документ взят из кэша поисковой машины. Адрес оригинального документа : http://www.izmiran.rssi.ru/services/saf/archive/en/2014/obzor20140609.en.txt Дата изменения: Mon Jun 9 15:23:30 2014 Дата индексирования: Sun Apr 10 00:49:00 2016 Кодировка: koi8-r

Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
Highlights on 02 - 08.06.2014,
Forecast on 09 - 16.06.2014,
Carrington Rotation 2151 (31,83.05.2014)

SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY OF THE SUN REMAINED AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL,
GRADUALLY RAISING BY THE PERIOD END, AND ALREADY 7.06 HIGH LEVEL IS
NOTED. ESTIMATED, WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUM-
BER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM WAS MADE W=070+23/-36. ON THE VISI-
BLE DISK OF THE SUN WERE CONSTANTLY OBSERVED 4-7 GROUPS OF THE SUN-
SPOTS THREE OF WHICH FOR ONE DAYS GREW TO CATEGORY OF AVERAGES.
NEXT WEEK AVERAGE AND, PROBABLY, HIGH LEVELS OF SUNSPOT-FORMING AC-
TIVITY IS EXPECTED. ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF
RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT
WEEK IS EXPECTED W=050+20/-10.

FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON A MIDDLE LEVEL JUNE 2 AND 6, ON THE VERY LOW
- 5, AND ON THE LOW - IN OTHER DAYS. FOR THE PERIOD 6 EJECTIONS OF
SOLAR FILAMENTS WERE OBSERVED. ONE OF THEM, ON JUNE 4, WAS ACCOMPA-
NIED BY THE SMALL FLARE OF LARGE AREA ("HAYDER" FLARE) AND "GALO"
CME CAUSED IN THE ENVIRONMENT SPACE THE MINOR MAGNETIC STORM (G2).
BY DATA CORONOGRAPHS SOHO AND STEREO WERE OBSERVED 44 CME ONE OF
WHICH WAS THE HALO TYPE, 1 - "PARTIAL HALO III", AND 5 - "PARTIAL
HALO II".

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FLARES to tm te c/p local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME
X-ray/оp J/m-2
03.06 0358 0409 0454 S05E30L301 M1.3/2N 8.6E-3 12077
05.06 1926 1931 1941 S12E26L269 M1.4/SF 2.5E-3 12080 III/2 VI/2

DSF to te c/p local. l in deg. Fl AR CME
04.06 >0456 <2333 N15W66L013 12
04.06 0900 1400 S24E63L244 22 CME/H
06.06 >0139 <1212 N16E31L212 5 12082
06.06 1748 2002 S26W57L328 10
07.06 >0900 <0310 N14E52L216 11
08.06 1209 1509 N25E32L232 7
08.06 1526 1640 N04-S04 E29-E17 L225-247 17
In the latter case, KVV observed 2 observatories, their coordinates
and times are integrated.
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NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON LOW AND, IN SEPARATE
DAYS, AT THE AVERAGE LEVELS.

ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED:
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sign N end е end S end W end EE R G Observatories
CH - S30L287 S45L282 S60L307 S46L320 7.06 2 SDO, SOHO, ...
CH - S02L281 S28L270 S32L273 S07L289 7.06 1 G0 SDO, SOHO, ...
CH + S02L281 S28L270 S32L273 S07L289 7.06 1 G0 SDO, SOHO, ...
R - solar rotations; KP - KIT PEAK solar observatory;
EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment.
G - geoeffectivity in last solar rotation;
A-active geomagnetic condition.
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AFTER 4.06/05 UT THE EARTH IS IN "-" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAG-
NETIC FIELD. THE FOLLOWING SECTOR BOUNDER -/+ THE EARTH HAS TO PASS ON
JUNE, 9-10.

JUNE 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 JUNE
Wus 056 061 070 102 132 155 144
F10.7 105 107 105 111 133 137 149
Хbcg B2.4 B2.8 В2.3 В2.7 В3.7 В4.3 B5.1 GOES
Sp 210 200 220 330 550 950 1130 mvh
N 1 1 2 2
IMF +/-/+ + +/- - - - - АСЕ
е>2 1.8E+5 2.1Е+5 4.8Е+4 3.0Е+4 3.3Е+4 4.2E+4 2.6E+4 GOES
Ie>2 pfu GOES
Ap 5 6 5 7 8 15 37 nT Ар
Dst nT KIOTO
Amsc 8 10 9 10 9 13 37 nT IZMIRAN
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е>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV.
Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary orbits
in days according to GOES 15 in (electrons/cm2-s-sr) for events
> 1000 pfu.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH
LEVEL WAS NOT OBSERVED. MOREOVER, THE EXCEPTIONAL CASE, FROM 4.06 THE
FLUX OF RELATIVISTIC ELECTRONS SURELY KEEPS ON LEVEL E+4.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH
LEVEL BE NOT EXPECTED.

THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS REMAINED QUIET AND UNSETTLED BEFORE ARRIVAL
TO THE ENVIRONMENT SPACE OF THE INTERPLANETARY SHOCK WAVE OF SI-07/1657
UT AFTER WHICH THE MINOR MAGNETIC STORM (G2, Ams=33, dur.= 9 h.) ACCOR-
DING DATA TO THE CENTER IN BOULDER, AND (G2, Ams=35, длит. = 6 h.) AC-
CORDING IZMIRAN DATA. THIS MAGNETIC DISTURBANCE WAS CAUSED BY DSF ON
JUNE, 4.

NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED UNSETTLED AND QUIET.

HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA
OF NOAA SWPC http://www.sec.noaa.gov,
OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER -
SIDC, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3,
OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru